Maybe the administration just doesn’t get democracy promotion

I recently saw a good interview with Reza Aslan, in which he described the inherent problems with the Bush administration reaching out to reformers in Tehran.

“This is the dirty little secret about Iran, that it is the most vibrant, the most robust, and the most successful democracy in the whole of the Middle East outside of Israel,” Aslan said. “They’ve got the civil and the democratic institutions at the grassroots level, the women’s rights groups, the human rights groups — everything that you actually need in order to have a slow, nurturing, successful democracy. But the problem is, every time the president reaches out to the Iranian people, every time he says, ‘We’re with you against your government,’ they say, ‘Leave us out of this. Stop reaching out to us!'”

Aslan added, “The more we [bluster about a confrontation with Iran], the more that [Iranian officials], in the name of national security, clamp down on these democratic institutions.”

And in case we needed proof, here’s an example of what Aslan was talking about.

Tehran’s jailing of Haleh Esfandiari, a 67-year old grandmother who holds dual Iranian-American citizenship, as well as the interrogation of others with similar papers, is evidence that Washington’s latest attempt to foist change on Iran is backfiring — as Iranian democracy advocates had warned. The Bush administration had trumpeted its $61.1 million democracy program, including Farsi-language broadcasts into Iran, education and cultural exchanges and $20 million worth of support for “civil society, human rights, democratic reform and related outreach” as an important effort.

However, sources tell TIME that several key Iranian reformers had repeatedly warned U.S. officials through back channels that the pro-democracy program was bound to expose them as vulnerable targets for a government crackdown whether they took Washington’s funds or not.

What, you mean the administration blew off accurate warnings about a flawed policy in the Middle East that ended up producing the opposite of the desired goal? Why, that never happens.

Iranian civil rights activists contacted by TIME say that the cases against the Iranian-Americans have fostered the most repressive atmosphere inside Iran in years, making democracy advocates terrified to work or even speak on the telephone. Many are deeply reluctant to leave or re-enter the country, fearing that they will meet the same fate as Esfandiari, who was initially detained while heading to the airport after an eight-day visit to Iran to see her 93-year old mother. She and at least two other Iranian-Americans were charged with espionage. Esfandiari is the director of the Woodrow Wilson Center’s Mideast Program in Washington. The Wilson Center has strongly denied that she or the center has received any of the Bush administration’s funds.

Esfandiari has been a vocal proponent of greater dialogue between the U.S. and Iranian governments as a means of facilitating moderation in Iran and easing international tensions. “It is preposterous that she is accused of conspiring to overthrow the Iranian government by organizing conferences and encouraging dialogue between Iranians and Americans,” says her husband, Shaul Bakhash, a noted Middle East scholar.

TIME’s sources, who do not want to be identified for fear of retribution, say that they repeatedly warned about the negative consequences in informal talks that have been taking place for several years between figures in the U.S. and Iran who are close to their respective governments. Similar warnings were delivered to U.S. officials by others, including Trita Parsi, president of the National Iranian American Council. “We had talks with the State Department and with lawmakers,” Parsi told TIME. “We pointed out the dangers. Our advice was not taken into consideration. Things have turned out worse than we expected.”

Do you ever get the sense that maybe the Bush administration just doesn’t know what it’s doing?

Do you ever get the sense that maybe the Bush administration just doesn’t know what it’s doing?

Yes. Yes I do.

  • Do you ever get the sense that maybe the Bush administration just doesn’t know what it’s doing?

    You mean like a “shovel-smacking-me-in-the-head” kind of sense? Yes, I have that sense every single day!

  • The Iranian government’s attitude might also have something to do with the terrorists we send in there to blow stuff up, or the way we talk openly about nuking them even though they haven’t threatened us.

  • The sister wrote: “You mean like a “shovel-smacking-me-in-the-head” kind of sense? Yes, I have that sense every single day!”

    Yeah, there are days when I want to shout at the Bushies, “Ow! Ow! Stop what you’re doing! It hurts to see you try and set policy!”

  • “Do you ever get the sense that maybe the Bush administration just doesn’t know what it’s doing?”

    Each and every damn day of my life for the past 6 years and 6 months.

  • Do you ever get the sense that maybe the Bush administration just doesn’t know what it’s doing?

    Maybe they do.

    The bush faction could be aware of of the democratic freedoms Iran does have. Just use some blustery rehtoric, stir occasionally, and look at the iranians dance with espionage fever! All they have to do is inject fear into a populace and watch it turn against each other.

    THEN the bush faction can point the finger at someone else and blubber, ‘see, they’re an evil repressive society WITH NUKEZ! And they’re repressive! Did we already mention NUKEZ?! Amerika to the glorious rescue!’

    Putin, well, isn’t biting…

  • “…that it is the most vibrant, the most robust, and the most successful democracy in the whole of the Middle East outside of Israel…”

    Input that into BushCo and out comes: “Wants bombing.”

    Do you ever get the sense that maybe the Bush administration just doesn’t know what it’s doing?

  • “Do you ever get the sense that maybe the Bush administration just doesn’t know what it’s doing?”

    I used to, but nobody could be that stupid or incompetent and still walk upright. I think they’re chomping at the bit to confront Iran. If they can do it under the guise of “promoting democracy,” so much the better. Even the republican presidential candidates who are supposed to be running away from Bush think it’d be okay to nuke Iran if that’s what it took to stop their nuclear program.

  • I assume this:
    Do you ever get the sense that maybe the Bush administration just doesn’t know what it’s doing?
    is just a rhetorical question.

    Of course since they just don’t get democracy – as seen through their mania for privacy (of their own documents/goings on and not anyone elses) there is no way they would actually get “democracy promotion.” Of course democracy requires a modicum of reality, nuance, and fact as well which they barely know the definition of those words much less how they work on planet Earth and on this side of the Looking Glass.

  • How interesting that both countries have fundamentalist, repressive presidents pushing in the wrong direction.
    Every time I hear about Ahmadinejad, I think that Iran has their own George W. Bush.
    Sad & scary.
    I hope that Islam does not have its own version of the apocalypse.

  • Is Condi one of the worst Secretary of States ever? I can’t figure out if she’s incompetent or simply powerless in the face of Cheney and his minions’ control over all parts of government.

    Either way, we are so screwed.

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