E. J. Dionne Jr. had a column in September 2004 that’s always stuck with me. He noted, in the midst of the presidential campaign, that Republicans are not above lying, but Dems seem to be squeamish about it. “A very intelligent political reporter I know said the other night that Republicans simply run better campaigns than Democrats,” Dionne noted. “If I were given a free pass to stretch the truth to the breaking point, I could run a pretty good campaign, too.”
I’ve been thinking about that column a lot lately, as the McCain campaign’s willingness to abandon any pretense of honesty has become more obvious. Elevating Karl Rove’s former aides to running McCain’s operation seems to have intensified the mendacity.
Greg Sargent noted a whopper from this morning.
The McCain campaign continues to push an outright falsehood: That Obama flip-flopped on Iraq.
On a conference call with reporters a few moments ago, a senior McCain surrogate, Steve Forbes, recited a litany of things that Obama has supposedly flip-flopped on, and said that Obama had “changed his mind” on troop withdrawals from Iraq.
This, obviously, is patently and demonstrably false. But it wasn’t an accident or a casual slip-up by a campaign surrogate. On Thursday, the McCain campaign issued a statement insisting that Obama has “now adopted John McCain’s position” on troop withdrawal from Iraq, and has come around to “accepting John McCain’s principled stand on this critical national security issue.” Yesterday, Joe Lieberman, McCain’s top surrogate, made a similar argument on national television.
Now, I know the McCain campaign is not made up of idiots. They heard Obama’s easy-to-understand comments, and they understood the remarks just as well as we did. Given their familiarity with the English language, they surely understand that Obama hasn’t “changed his mind” or “adopted John McCain’s position” on troop withdrawal.
But they’re lying anyway, because as Dionne noted four years ago, it’s what Republican campaigns do, it’s how Republican campaigns succeed, and it’s how Republican campaigns operate given the assumption that reporters won’t call them on it.
Given this, it’s worth taking a moment to consider why the McCain campaign is lying as blatantly as they are. Even under the most optimistic of scenarios, there’s at least a risk that a campaign will face some consequences for obvious distortions, so why would the McCain campaign push its luck?
For a couple of reasons. First, as we saw last week, McCain’s aides saw first-hand just how farcical campaign reporting has become. If McCain says Obama has changed positions, news outlets will repeat the claim, ad nauseum, despite the claim being false. It’s a dynamic that encourages campaigns to repeat more falsehoods, given that there’s no real accountability. In other words, if one can lie with impunity, and benefit, he or she will lie all the time.
Second, as Josh Marshall explained over the weekend, McCain is facing the inconvenient reality of running on a very unpopular agenda with regards to Iraq. It’s in the campaign’s interest, then, to change the nature of the debate away from the candidate’s misguided worldview.
The Iraq War is very unpopular. The majority of the country believes it was a mistake to have invaded in the first place. And the great majority want to get all of our troops out of Iraq in the near future. These are facts amply supported by what is now years of public opinion data. While it is true that the reduction in violence over the last 8-9 months has led to some shift in how people think ‘things are going’ in Iraq, it has had no measurable effect on the key questions: should we be there in the first place (no) and should we leave now (yes.)
This is the only backdrop against which to understand the current jousting over the semantics of the Iraq debate.
We have two candidates with starkly different positions. Barack Obama is for an orderly and considered withdrawal of all US combat forces in Iraq, a process he says he will begin immediately upon taking office. John McCain supports a permanent garrisoning of US troops on military bases in Iraq — a long-term ‘presence’ which he hopes will require a constantly-diminishing amount of actual combat and thus an ever-diminishing toll in American lives.
This is, I believe, a fair and even generous description of each candidate’s essential position. And the recital makes the key point clear: McCain’s position is squarely on the wrong side of public opinion — in fact, to an overwhelming degree.
Given this, what’s a candidate to do? Option A is changing his/her position to one that makes sense. Option B is lying about his/her rival’s position, arguing that the rival now agrees with the struggling candidate, as part of an elaborate strategy of shifting focus away from the candidate’s unpopular ideas. Guess which option McCain prefers?
So, the McCain campaign has decided to deliberately lie, a lot, and hope for the best. Under the circumstances, they seem to believe they have no choice.