Military ‘progress’ vs. political ‘progress’

Here we go again. The past few weeks, most of the political press has noted instances in which Democratic lawmakers travel to Iraq and reflect on military successes. War supporters, inside DC and out, immediately pounce, proclaiming, “See? Even the Democrats agree the president’s ‘surge’ is working.” News reports immediately follow, with reports such as, “Even Democrats are now conceding that….”

This was common a couple of weeks ago, and the week’s examples are just as bothersome.

As we noted Monday, Sens. Carl Levin and John Warner have returned from Iraq to report that while the “surge” may be producing “measurable results” in reducing violence, they are “not optimistic” that the Iraq government will use its newfound “breathing space” to make the compromises “essential for a political solution in Iraq.”

In a follow-up press conference call with reporters, Levin made it clear that his was no glass-half-full assessment. “The purpose of the surge, by its own terms, was to … give the opportunity to the Iraqi leaders to reach some political settlements,” Levin said. “They have failed to do that. They have totally and utterly failed.”

Fox News’ headline on Levin’s report? Think Progress caught it: “Sens. Warner and Levin Travel to Iraq, Praise Surge Results.”

The Washington Times did the same thing. Levin described the government of Iraq “non-functional,” and called for Maliki’s ouster. The Times reported, “Top Senate Democrats have started to acknowledge progress in Iraq, with the chairman of the Armed Services Committee yesterday saying the U.S. troop surge is producing ‘measurable results.'”

It’s not just obviously-conservative news outlets, either. Digby noted CNN screwing it up last night, too.

All of this is supposed to suggest that Democrats are starting to buy into Bush’s surge policy. They’re not. Reporters are confused — again.

As Tim Grieve noted, Hillary Clinton’s speech before the VFW annual convention is getting similar treatment.

The Washington Times checks in this morning with a headline that reads, “Democrats See ‘Results’ in Iraq.” The story bundles Levin’s comments with similar ones Illinois Sen. Dick Durbin made recently and with a speech New York Sen. Hillary Clinton made before the Veterans of Foreign Wars Monday. In the speech, Clinton said: “We’ve begun to change tactics in Iraq, and in some areas, particularly in Al Anbar province, it’s working.” How the Washington Times uses that sentence: “‘It’s working,’ Mrs. Clinton said of the troop surge.”

Clinton went on to say that the United States alone cannot “impose a military solution” on Iraq; that the Iraqis are not “ready to do what they have to do for themselves yet”; that it is “unacceptable for our troops to be caught in the crossfire of a sectarian civil war while the Iraqi government is on vacation”; that it’s “time the Iraqi government took responsibility for themselves and their country, because the American people and our American military cannot want freedom and stability for the Iraqis more than they want it for themselves”; and that the “best way” to honor the men and women who have served in Iraq is “by beginning to bring them home and making sure that when they come home that we have everything ready for them.”

The New York Times quotes Clinton more fairly than the Washington Times does, but it still says that her remarks about the “surge” were “notable because Mrs. Clinton has been a consistent critic of the Bush administration’s troop escalation in Iraq, and Republican presidential candidates have been seizing on signs of progress in Al Anbar Province in arguing against a troop withdrawal.”

A flip-flop from Clinton? That’s the implication. MSBNC says Clinton’s speech may “raise a few eyebrows,” and CQ Politics’ Craig Crawford explains why: “Speaking to a veterans group, Clinton undercut claims, including her own, that President George W. Bush’s troop buildup would not work.

This need not be complicated. The point of the so-called “surge” was to pave the way for political progress, which is what everyone agrees Iraq needs. Eight months after the policy began, there’s been no political progress at all. Indeed, Iraq, politically, has gone backwards.

Dems have noted that U.S. troops are going into some areas of Iraq and routing enemy forces. Of course they are; our military is exponentially stronger and better than anything Iraq can throw at them. But the crisis cannot be resolved through U.S. military power — our troops can succeed in practically every military confrontation they face in Iraq and the president’s policy can still be a failure.

As Philip Carter, an Iraq war veteran, recently explained, successful military battles don’t reflect a successful policy.

Today, in Iraq, we face a similar conundrum. Our vaunted military has won every battle against insurgents and militias—from the march up to the “thunder runs” that took Baghdad; the assaults on Fallujah to the battles for Sadr City. And yet we still find ourselves stuck in the sands of Mesopotamia. In a New York Times op-ed published Monday, Brookings Institution scholars Michael O’Hanlon and Kenneth Pollack argue that “[w]e are finally getting somewhere in Iraq, at least in military terms.” They go on to describe the myriad ways the surge is succeeding on the security front.

But in emphasizing this aspect of current operations, they downplay the more critical questions relating to political progress and the ability of Iraq’s national government to actually govern. Security is not an end in itself. It is just one component, albeit an important one, of a comprehensive counterinsurgency strategy. Unless it is paired with a successful political strategy that consolidates military gains and translates increased security into support from the Iraqi people, these security improvements will, over time, be irrelevant.

That conservatives and journalists still seem confused about this is disconcerting.

levin should call a press conference and specifically call all of these news organizations on their errors. he should read each headline and then say, “i did not say that, i did not even imply that. what i said was……” and then move on to the next. after continuous repetition, the news media would have no choice but to recognize what he really said, and the american public would know what it was he really said.

(yeah, yeah…….i know…..)

  • there’s an alternative theory, of course: reporters aren’t “confused” at all. they’re doing what they’ve been told to do.

  • Actually, what HRC said was even more aggressively anti-Bush that what CB quoted:

    “‘We’ve begun to change tactics in Iraq, and in some areas, particularly in Al Anbar Province, it’s working,” [she said]… ‘We’re just years too late changing our tactics. We can’t ever let that happen again. We can’t be fighting the last war; we have to be preparing to fight the new war.’”

    And per MSNBC’s First Read, Obama has largely agreed with Clinton, although I thought he explained it a little better:

    Obama noted that he hadn’t seen a transcript of exactly what Clinton said yesterday about the troop surge during her speech at the VFW, but added, “My assessment is that if we put an additional 30,000 of our outstanding troops into Baghdad, that that’s going to quell some of the violence, short term. I don’t think that there’s ever been any doubt about that. And I don’t think that there’s any doubt that as long as US troops are present, that, you know, they are going to be doing outstanding work.

    “It doesn’t change the underlying assessment, which is that there’s not a military solution to the problem in Iraq, and that the political dynamic in Iraq has not changed. The only thing that the Iraqi legislature appears to have agreed to, as the surge took place, was a motion to adjourn and go on vacation.”

    How any of this can remotely be read as pro-Bush or for continuing the war is a stunning sign of how badly the establishment wants to will Bush into being successful. But I think HRC was exeactly right: the real point is to contrast this with how poorly Bush implemented Iraq for the first several years when listening to Shinseki may have actually made a difference (instead of “retiring” him). Iraq, a bad idea to begin with, is irreparably broken now.

  • It’s working so well that the US has decided Iraq doesn’t need a government. The US will kill anyone and everyone who stands in the way of the US winning. We will just stay here as your police force and continue to win…well, until we run out of money and soldiers, which was really 6mos ago but we still have credit.
    What did we win…less violence…on what day? Insurgents bide their time during the occupation because they have made sure there is no government and can take their time, killing us one soldier at a time for as long as we stay.

    When will congress force Bush to withdraw the same way he is “forcing” our soldiers to fight and die refereeing a civil war?

    In the middle of WWII, just around D-Day, Churchill and the English Parliament went on a 30 day vacation out of the country to avoid all the bombing. War is such a messy business. WTF? Iraqi parliament went on vacation due to heat etc. In the midst of a National Emergency and Bush is exclaiming the surge is working..in part…well, in some areas. The mind boggles.

  • The point of the so-called “surge” was to pave the way for political progress, which is what everyone agrees Iraq needs.

    It was? I thought the point of the so-called “surge” was to score a few apparent military victories, so that Bush could intimidate the Democrats into letting him play toy soldiers until 1/20/09, and so that the GOP could portray the ’08 Democratic presidential nominee as a patchouli-scented sandal-wearer with flowers in his (or her) hair.

  • Context is everything, and unfortunately, the media seem to feel they are the ones who get to supply it. They cut and paste and edit and before you know it, they have actual quotes that support the story they wanted to write or wanted you to see. This is what I keep telling people: unless you get a transcript or listen or watch C-Span all day, what you see and hear is the result of someone whose job it is to sell the story and get those ratings up deciding what will work best for their demographic. Do you think Fox viewers want the unfiltered truth, from beginning to end? Hell, no. They want to be able to sit in front of their TVs and shout out, “See? Bush was right! Bush was right!” Because if they can’t hear what they want to hear on Fox, they will get it somewhere else. Oh, the horror!

    So the truth and the facts are sacrificed every day for the almighty corporate dollar – if you want to know what’s going on, it sure as hell isn’t going to be gift-wrapped and dropped in your lap; you’re going to have to play Jimmy Olsen or Lois Lane and go get it yourself.

    This is nothing new, by the way – but with the internet and the blogs dogging the stories, it’s easier to see through.

  • “unacceptable for our troops to be caught in the crossfire of a sectarian civil war while the Iraqi government is on vacation”;

    Maybe the surge if having some effect BECAUSE the Iraqi govenrment is on vaction. They’re not in day to day contact with their various murder squads and militias so they can’t direct them to be as effective.

  • The Democrats are making a mistake by even trying to suggest there is military but not political progress. The whole purpose of the surge tactic was to advance the strategic objective of providing the political space for the Iraqi’s to reach some sort of political progress. By its very terms the surge tactic has failed. To suggest the surge can work even if political rapprochement did not is wrong and stupid. The Dems have themself to blame for playing that game.

    The message is simple–the surge is not working because the Iraqi’s could not find a political solution. Battlefield progress is meaningless without political progress.

  • The MSM is completely corrupt and broken, as far as news/reality goes. As far as propaganda/spin/halftruths/downright lies etc. etc. , well in that case, everthing’s fine!

    The halogram lives!

  • No one in journalism is that dumb. I don’t know what they’re thinking or how many months they’ll want to go on metareporting this narrative of massive progress… maybe 14?

  • What I can pretty much guarantee is that when there is a Democratic administration and a larger Democratic majority in the Congress, it is going to be non-stop attacks on Democrats. Within weeks of taking office, we will already be hearing about the failure and disarray of having Democrats in charge…

    So, so predictable.

  • No offense, sniflheim, but there are plenty of journalists that are that dumb.

  • Perhaps all these Dems giving some credence to the surge might be a calculated pre-emptive strike prior to the September ‘update from Baghdad’ – whioch surely will state similar sentiments. By ‘agreeing’ upfront the Dems will then be able to focus their message on: “however…………………………………” and give valid arguments that any surge will decrease violence at some point, that if we surge even more, more violence will be reduced, but that will be improssible since we dont have the man/woman power, that the explicit goal of the surge was not met – i.e. no political reconciliation etc etc. etc.
    Perhaps there is a brilliant PR mind among the Dems after all……

  • If we put 500,000 troops in Iraq then we have a good chance of reducing violence in that country. I think most of us agree that is true. I know we have over 500,000 troops in all of our armed forces and guard units but I don’t think we would be able to get them all in Iraq at the same time.

    The problem is that we wouldn’t be able to keep even 200,000 troops in Iraq for any length of time. I wonder how many army generals think we can keep 150,000 troops in Iraq for more than a year.

    What are we supposed to do when we have to withdraw troops to a sustainable level? At some point we need a political solution.

    How can we achieve a reasonable political solution? I have no idea.

  • Comments are closed.