No, he really is a conservative

Slate’s [tag]Jacob Weisberg[/tag] wrote a provocative piece yesterday arguing that liberal critics of [tag]John McCain[/tag] are just confused. We think he’s a conservative whose reputation as a “maverick” is little more than media hype and an effective public relations strategy. We agree with Paul [tag]Krugman[/tag]’s analysis: “The bottom line is that Mr. McCain isn’t a moderate; he’s a man of the hard right.”

Weisberg argues that [tag]McCain[/tag]’s liberal critics are just too “literal-minded.” All they have to do, Weisberg argues, is wait for the Republican primaries to end to see the “more appealing John McCain come roaring back.”

Democrats alarmed by crossover affection for McCain usually begin by complaining about his down-the-line anti-abortion voting record. But McCain’s smoke signals spell out something different — an unsuccessful attempt to back away from a mandatory position he no longer believes in, if he ever really did. […]

A similar pattern describes his views on gay rights. I remember McCain telling me during an interview in the mid-1990s about how a gay member of his staff sensitized him to the issue. When he ran for president in 2000, he won the endorsement of the Log Cabin Republicans. The Advocate calls him “notoriously pro-gay.”

Not surprisingly, I don’t find this terribly persuasive. Weisberg suggests it’s easy to see McCain as a progressive reformer just so long as we “discount his repositioning a bit.” This is a bit like saying, if we discount Nixon’s criminal abuses of power, his presidency wasn’t all bad.

“Repositioning”? On abortion, McCain fundamentally opposes abortion rights. It’s one of the handful of consistent policy positions McCain has always kept throughout his political career. When South Dakota passed a sweeping ban on abortion last month, even in cases dealing with rape victims, McCain said he supported the measure. Weisberg calls this “repositioning”; I call this “rigid right-wing ideology.”

On gay rights, McCain proudly endorsed an Arizona ballot initiative that would change Arizona’s Constitution to ban gay marriages and deny government benefits to unmarried couples. McCain is “pro-gay”? I don’t think so.

Weisberg suggests that arguments like these are overly literal, but what, exactly, am I supposed to do with the information? McCain is taking unwavering, far-right policy positions, while cozying up to Jerry Falwell, voting for Bush’s tax cuts, and inexplicably supporting the war. If the argument is, “Don’t worry, McCain doesn’t mean it and he won’t act on it in office,” I hardly find it reassuring. If we accept Weisberg’s argument at face value, under the best case scenario, McCain is a dishonest, cynical panderer who’s willing to hide his true beliefs for short-term political gain. And under Weisberg’s scenario, this is supposed to be a good thing.

Weisberg sees an elaborate strategy, whereby McCain pretends to be a hardline conservative, just long enough to win the nomination. As soon as that’s out of the way, McCain’s liberal critics can then, Weisberg suggests, sit back and enjoy McCain’s genuine “Teddy-Roosevelt-progressive”-like self.

When it comes to the next president, who’s willing to take that chance?

Warmly embracing George Bush after Bush’s campaign in SC said that McCain was “addled” by North Korean torture, or implying that McCain had fathered an out-of-wedlock black child (because he had adopted a non-white one) is more than a little “repositioning”. It’s triangulating of the most unforgiveable sort. Agreeing to speak at Falwell’s “university” commencement was the last straw. John McCain has no honor or personal integrity, imho.

  • Well, nice to see proof that my Jewish friends are right when they tell me that the general belief that Jews are all geniuses is an “anti-semitic slur.” Thank you Mr. Weisberg, for demonstrating that moronic stupidity knows no ethnic barriers.

  • Back in 2000, those who said that Bush was a anti-environment, pro-corporation, intellectual lightweight who would do wonders for the rich and the richer but screw everyone else were told what a moderate, compassionate conservative Bush was and that Bush would surround himself with wise advisors who would curb Bush’s conservative impulses. What a bunch of hooey. Now, we are suppose to believe that McCain will suddenly change his spots?

  • Yeah, I do believe that this was the unspoken conventional wisdom about Bush too. That he was a moderate playing tricks on the conservative base, but who would faithfully take the intelligent centrist track (if only those damn diehard Dems would let him). Even now, that CW is dying the slowest of deaths. But the facts are that the Republican position is much easier to do as a diehard conservative relying on the base than as a moderate walking a tightrope. Dems need to walk the tightrope, but Repubs need to rely on the base; that’s just how the dynamics currently play-out. And anyone that relies on the Republican base to win the nomination will be forced to rule by the Republican base. And in McCain’s case, I suspect that he’s more faithfully conservative than Bush ever was.

    How exactly has it not occurred to these pundit types that maybe they’re the ones being played and pandered to?

  • The notion that McCain is moderate is so ingrained that two of my liberal, relatively well informed, democratic colleagues recently agreed that he is, in fact, a moderate. I said, no, he’s a Trojan horse. He’s a slick, media darling who took a position or two contrary to the republicrat orthodoxy over the years and collaborated on bills with the likes of Russ Finegold and Teddy Kennedy. For that he’s called a moderate. But he votes far right. If he’s elected, his administration might be more competent but no less conservative.

  • With McCain, I can no longer separate the man from the political animal. More and more, he’s become an opportunitist.

  • These sorry Beltway weasels with their homoerotic “manly man” fixations on McCain (see C. Matthews for the most absurdly extravagant one) will indulge in any kind of special pleading to advance their guy. One wonders at the psychology of this fixation, and one also wonders if anyone who writes this kind of crap actually believes it.

  • I wonder if you would agree that pretentiousness is a bipartisan political stratagem. It is hardly a “hard-right” thing; insincerity is a pandemic in American culture. That McCain seems ingratiating to everyone is no doubt true: there are a zillions of conservatives who don’t trust him, as there are zillions of liberals who are equally wary. But this was the case with Mr. Kerry, whose positions often invoked incredulity among supporters and critics.

    The unfortunate thing is that perhaps insincerity has become a political virtue tacitly approved by voters in the voting booth.

    Insincerity and vituperation: The virtues of American political discourse.

    Peace.

  • Actually, McCain votes along party lines more than all but about four other Republicans.

    I’d post a link, but the site is blocked here at work (I first saw the figures at 1115).

    The reason the guy gets the “maverick” label is because he’s made a few comments that went against his party. He never backed up those comments, which, of course, further proves he’s a conservative.

  • This asinine argument relies on at least three even more asinine assumptions. First: Right wingers will buy McCain’s newfound conservatism thereby allowing him to coast to the nomination. Second: They’ll allow him to appear “moderate” to win the White House. Third: Democrats and independents should give him a pass once he reassumes his “maverick” ways.

    Conservatives aren’t that stupid, and, judging by the story I heard on NPR this morning, McCain’s going to have a hard time making the case he’s one of them. The Republican primary season is going to be tough for John McCain, George Allen and anyone else who thinks they can play the GOP base for suckers. After the primaries, conservatives, particularly the religious right, are going to want a candidate that echoes their world view. No “moderates” need apply. They are not going to wait another four years for their demands being met. And finally, any Democrat even considering a presidential race should be paying close attention to what McCain says or does between now and 2008. There has to be material for at least a half-dozen nasty and brutal, but entirely fair, ads against McCain.

  • There is little question that part of this involves pandering to the right by McCain, but this hardly demonstrates that criticism of McCain is all wrong. Assuming that this is just as a charade as Weisburg suggests, then how should people view McCain’s honesty and credibilty which for me personally is his greatest asset of his as a politician? Whether he is really becoming more conservative or not, cowtowing to the likes of Jerry Falwell is sad indeed. Agreeing with Bush’s tax cuts is down right reckless.

    McCains Senate record, at least as evaluated by the National Journal reflects a moderately conservative record with 10 Republicans to his left and the rest of the GOP on his right. http://nationaljournal.com/voteratings/sen/lib_cons.htm?o1=con_composite&o2=desc

    Certainly McCain is lot more preferable to most of his GOP counterparts, but that isnt saying much.

  • In Ohio our two republican candidates for governor are a hard-right, pro-religion, anti-tax Republican (Blackwell), and a formerly excellent, anti-corruption, moderate (Petro). Over the last two years or so, Petro has been trying to reposition himself as acceptable to the hard-right base (he’s found religion, come out against abortion, and so forth). Also, he’s entangled himself in some ethical problems. McCain came to Ohio the other day and campaigned for Blackwell.

    McCain has always been very conservative, with just enough talk against the grain to win a reputation for independence, but he has never been moderate. He will try to reposition himself if he wins the Republican nomination, and may well succeed at it, given how little attention typical Americans pay to politics.

  • Anyone trying to sell McCain to liberals is essentially saying, “Pay no attention to the one arm that is poised to strike you, while the other is lain across your back, caressing you.” McCain’s no good at all.

    Republicans were tossing it around, weren’t they, that liberals were going to be ready to push real hard again to try to keep a Republican fromm becoming president in ’08. If the Republicans could try to get someone nominated who liberals could see as moderate, then it would dilute our motivation to oppose him. Does anyone else think that now it seems like now that this storyline hasn’t been playing out, they might be starting to prefer promoting someone else, like Giuliani?

  • What Swan said. Plus the squeamy memory of the flutter of excitement when a Dean-McCain ticket was broached. O-o-o-o-o-h-m-i-g-o-d. That was when I logged out of the the Dean blog.

  • Just one more thing: I think that “Dems have to walk a tightrope” stuff might not be the kind of “outside the box” thinking we need. I think it might be that the Dems have to be a little more forthright- they have to sound a lot more like Jon Stewarts and a lot less like John Kerrys. It might just be that if we embrace who we are, if we grab the ball and really run all the way for the endzone instead of trying to climb up there one-down-at-a-time, then we’re finally going to start making some real progress.

    Along the same lines, all the Dems in the House really need to start challenging the admin on the Iraq war without all of the usual throat-clearing and preambulatory jargon. First sentences out of a Senator/Rep’s mouth should just be, “What’s up with all these casualties? Who the hell is running this war and why are all these generals turning against the Sec.Def., Rumsfeld? Why is all this reconstruction money disappearing and why haven’t the troops been getting the armor they need? What the hell is going on? Hasn’t Iraq become what Al Qaeda wanted instead of what the US wanted?”

    Dems need to stop being wishy washy at all about it. It’s time to go for it.

  • Whether he is really becoming more conservative or not…

    He’s not becoming more conservative. The only thing that has changed is that he is now willing, big time, to pander to groups that can affect a national election, as opposed to an election in Arizona. That’s the lesson he learned in 2000. He can’t be much of a “maverick” if he wants to get all of the potential Republicrat votes that are out there. Expect McCain to endorse the execution of little puppies because they grow up to be dirty, dirty dogs who get abortions if he thinks that will get him elected. (OMG, will I get swept up and sent to Gitmo for writing “the execution of little puppies”? I’ll try to let you know if I am… if I can.)

    … cowtowing to the likes of Jerry Falwell is sad indeed…

    More disterbing to me is McCain’s kowtowing to GW Bush. It’s really shameful, for a military vet and former POW. Do you not remember The Hug or the birthday cake when my beloved NOLA was drowning?

    McCains Senate record, at least as evaluated by the National Journal reflects a moderately conservative record with 10 Republicans to his left and the rest of the GOP on his right.

    That was for the year 2005. What’s his career record? Face it, he’s a Goldwater conservative (because that was what he thought he needed to be to get elected).

  • McCain is more than just an opportunist – he sold out Democracy in April, 2004, when he decided, upon receipt, as head of the Senate Indian Affairs Committee hearings, of the Abramoff emails, memos, checks, etc., to use the information to extort the 2008 nomination from Bush and the corporatist branch of the GOP. Irony upon irony, it was at that exact time that Rove and McCain’s representative met, to hash out a “reconcilliation” of the “misunderstandings” of the 2000 primary campaign. Within months, McCain was stumping for Bush, and McCain hearings toned down considerably, with nearly all evidence heavily redacted of names of Congressmen and Administration officials.

    Two days ago, AP produced a story regarding “new” emails on Abramoff bribing key Congressmen for the Sag-Chip tribe – those emails have been in McCain’s possession for TWO years – whomever leaked them was sending up an SOS, as it’s been five months since the last Congressional hearing on Abramoff.

    But Rove was smart enough to throw a stick entitled “Bomb Iran” to Progressives while Ambramoff’s sins are quietly buried. Anyone wonder why Norquist has suddenly been able to come out from under the rock he’s been hiding under and spend “more time at the White House in the past two weeks than the past two years” (according to Grover himself.) Ask McCain. He once threatened to subpoena Norquist. Ha. What a joke.

  • Just the thought of having to guess at which way a presidential candidate really swings is making me sick to my stomach.

    The thought of John McCain cozying up to Jerry Falwell and then pandering to me makes me sick to my stomach.

    The thought of Hillary Clinton’s private luncheons with Al D’Amato makes me sick to my stomach.

    I just want to vomit every time I think of anyone in Washington DC. I am supposed to be looking for a job but I spend all of my free time tracking down information about crooked politicians. Not that I expect anyone to do anything about the lowlife scum spending all of our money but just to show how easy it is to catch them.

  • John McCain is and always has been a conservative.

    It’s his ‘conservative’ critics in the Republicanite party who are not really.

    Imagine actually complaining about McCain decrying earmarks (pork). Used to be a time when that was known as fiscal conservatism. His opponents in the Republicanite party certainly were not being more conservative than him then.

    Yes, McCain is against the corruption that arises from all the soft money funding in the 1990’s. That may be maverick, but it is not un-conservative.

    What amuses me, as mentioned before, is stories like that one on NPR where Republicanite voters trash McCain, saying they would rather vote democratic than vote for him. These people really are too stupid to be allowed to drive or own guns.

  • Armando of Daily Kos has his Lincoln-1860 strategy, but Karl Rove, famously, prefers McKinley-1896.

    To cement his permanent Republican Majority in power, Rove knows that he has to, somehow, harness and channel the inevitable progressive reaction to conservative triumph. In short, he needs a Theodore Roosevelt, Jr., to succeed his McKinley, and McCain is being groomed for the job. Hence, Weisberg is trotted out to pitch McCain as the Bull Moose.

    If McCain can prove his bona fides to the Religious Right conservative base, he won’t have to worry about no stinkin’ primaries. Cheney will resign, be asked to resign or simply die of a heart attack, and Bush will appoint McCain, Vice-President. Cheney will serve as sin-eater.

    Then, we will see just how bold, Rove is. Will he elevate McCain to the Presidency, in advance of the actual election, the old fashion way? McCain will be a shoe-in, if he is campaigning to win one for the Gipper; how eager Bush will be to apply his method acting talents to the role of Gipper, I hesitate to guess.

    If McCain does not pass muster with the Religious Right, in fairly short order, I believe Chuck Hagel will be called to step up to the plate, replacing Dick Cheney. Chuck has established rhetorical credentials as the anti-Cheney, and can probably do a mean TR imitation. As the 21st century “machine candidate”, Chuck brings certain advantages to the race, which have nothing to do with image.

  • There is a set prescedent that you do not need intelligence to become President.

    You do not need an impressive resume.

    You do not need good, or even passable, oratory skills.

    All you need is a gooberesque manner and a bought-for corporate media to fabricate some myth.

    The people will fall for it, time and time again.

    Fool me once…

  • Great points, Jeanne and pm…

    I’d also add that McCain is kidding himself (Weisberg, too) if he thinks he can pander to the right one minute, get their votes, and then skip out when the check comes. Ask Bush how that Harriet Miers nomination worked out! And Bush is starting with a lot more RR cred than McCain will EVER have.

    The Religious Right is NOT a cheap date. And the sooner everyone gets that into their head, the better.

  • I think Eric Alterman nails it:

    “The fact is, if he becomes president, the Republican party that has been destroying everything of value in this country for the past eight years will remain in a position to do so, working through the executive branch, the Supreme Court, and in all likelihood, Congress. Do us all a favor and can the “maverick” crap. Ross Perot was a maverick. McCain is a right-wing Republican.”

  • McCain’s achilles heel is his extremist position on immigration policy.

    His open borders program, which he co-sponsors with Ted Kennedy, would not only grant amnesty to the estimated 12 million illegal aliens, but it would radically increase the numbers in the existing legal immigration program, initiate a new program to bring massive numbers of low-skilled workers in from foreign countries, and, of course, bring in millions of relatives of the amnestied illegal aliens.

    This would cause such havoc in our society that it could very well lead to civil war and the dissolution of the United States as a sovereign nation.

    If and when the public learns what the true scope of this program is, that it is far more than “just” the general amnesty for illegal aliens that is portrayed in the media, then McCain’s goose is cooked.

    If not, the American people’s goose is cooked.

  • One more point:

    I think the supposed popularity of McCain is an inch deep, existing only in the establishment and ruling class.

    He perhaps does have a modest following among the most apathetic of ordinary Americans.

    But I don’t think “the apathetic” form a very powerful political base.

    Among activists of all political stripes, liberal to conservative, McCain and his policies are universally unpopular.

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