Obama, McCain, and Pump Politics

In the spring, Democratic primary voters didn’t fall for misguided gimmicks on energy policy. But if recent polling is any indication, Americans in general are so worried about gas prices, many of them are actually falling for the scam being pushed by John McCain and the rest of the Republican establishment. A CNN poll this week found strong support for coastal drilling, and more than eight in 10 Americans believe laws on offshore drilling are contributing to the recent increase in gasoline prices.

Given this widespread confusion, and the fact that so many Americans have come to believe demonstrably false claims, Barack Obama took the offensive yesterday.

Barack Obama took Exxon Mobil’s report of a record $11.68 billion profit last quarter and his own speech on energy policy and fashioned a rhetorical mortar shell aimed at Senator John McCain.

Mr. McCain’s corporate tax plan, he claimed, would yield $4 billion a year in savings for oil companies while his proposed federal gas tax holiday would pay for half a tank of gasoline over the course of an entire summer.

“So under my opponent’s plan, the oil companies get billions more and we stay in the same cycle of dependence on big oil that got us into this crisis,” he told more than a thousand people in a college gym here. “That’s a risk that we just can’t afford to take. Not this time.”

The Democratic candidate then turned to his own plan: A $150 billion investment over 10 years in alternative energies and fuels. (The funding of this plan is not entirely clear.) He counseled optimism, promising a transition to an economy based thousands of new businesses working on wind, solar and bio-fuels.

“We can’t have a policy that tinkers around the margins while going down an oil company’s wish list — it’s time to fundamentally transform our energy economy,” he said. These steps are not far-off, pie-in-the-sky solutions.”

First, this is the right message at the right time. Second, voters almost certainly didn’t hear a word about this, because someone used the phrase “race card” and the media, Pavlov-style, couldn’t resist.

On the first point, it seems the McCain campaign is betting the farm on energy. It was putting it all on Iraq, but now that Iraqi officials have endorsed the Obama policy, that’s a little trickier. Now, instead of lying about foreign policy, McCain has decided to lie about energy policy — telling voters that coastal drilling will offer “short-term” relief at the pump, that Obama is to blame for high prices, and that Obama wants to raise taxes on electricity. All of this is false, McCain knows that all of this is false, but McCain is doing it anyway.

Obama can’t very well sit back and expect cash-strapped voters to see through McCain’s shamelessly dishonest nonsense. And he certainly can’t expect the media to explain to the public that McCain’s rhetoric doesn’t meet reality. So, yesterday’s remarks in Iowa were a big step in the right direction — Obama’s right on the facts, and he needs to explain why so the public can better understand the issue.

The Democratic candidate has tackled the drilling question on two levels, as bad policy and as fundraising politics.

“It won’t lower prices today. It won’t lower prices during the next Administration,” he said. “While this won’t save you at the pump, it sure has done a lot to help Senator McCain raise campaign dollars.”

That last point can be a particularly compelling point, given that once McCain started lying about the benefits of coastal drilling, contributions from oil industry executives soared.

As for the media, news outlets largely ignored Obama’s remarks, apparently under the impression that voters don’t care about gas prices, and a substantive critique on energy policy just isn’t newsworthy right now.

Worse, the NYT (which reported on Obama’s speech on a blog, instead of running an article in the print edition), told readers, “The Republican candidate acknowledges drilling will have little short-term value.” In our reality, the Republican candidate actually said the exact opposite just three days ago, saying we could see the effects of coastal drilling “in a matter of months.”

In some ways, by embracing energy policy so enthusiastically, the McCain campaign is leading with its chin. Indeed, McCain’s policy is a bit of a joke — tax breaks for oil companies, a gas-tax holiday that benefits oil companies, and a coastal drilling plan that benefits oil companies. There is literally nothing in McCain’s plan that would lower gas prices either in the short or long term.

Obama made that abundantly clear, and his rhetoric had the added benefit of being true. Now, if only the media wasn’t quite so ridiculous — the “race card” talk dominated the morning shows. Natch.

But if recent polling is any indication, Americans in general are so worried about gas prices, many of them are actually falling for the scam being pushed by John McCain and the rest of the Republican establishment.

The downside of “The Audacity of Hope” is “The Persistence of Desperate Hope.”

That said, I don’t understand why Obama can’t offer the corporate-controlled media a chew toy that’s so shiny and squeeky that they can’t resist it:

” ‘Straight-talker’ John McCain is lying to the American people, and he’s counting on the American people to be too stupid to notice.

First, John McCain says that new drilling leases will bring in additional oil immediately. But John McCain himself has said new leases won’t produce oil for at least ten years.

Second, the areas John McCain wants to open for drilling are near the country’s most beautiful beaches and sensitive natural areas. But the oil companies already have leases on 70 million acres in the Gulf of Mexico where they aren’t drilling. John McCain doesn’t mention that.

http://money.cnn.com/2008/06/23/news/economy/oil_drilling/index.htm?cnn=yes

Third, John McCain keeps talking about a summer “gas tax holiday” that every serious economist in the country says won’t reduce pump prices but will instead just increase the oil companies’ profits.

And Fourth, the summer is now two-thirds over and John McCain still hasn’t bothered to go back to Washington to write a bill to implement his summer “gas tax holiday”. I will personally buy the first reporter who asks John McCain why he’s all talk and no action on his own energy gimmicks a Barbeque dinner.”

  • My guess is that Obama recognizes that it will tale more than a single speech to break through the media noise barrier. I hope that he brings it up again and again and puts it into his ad campaign.

  • The public needs to be educated on how off-shore, or any federal oil field leasing policy, works. How does the bidding process work? And, what really needs to be emphasized here, what determines the ultimate pricing on what we, the taxpayers, get for these leases with revenues up front and required,(if any), oil generation.
    I suspect most Americans haven’t got a clue. The ‘poll’ just gauges knee jerk reaction.

  • As for the media, news outlets largely ignored Obama’s remarks, apparently under the impression that voters don’t care about gas prices, and a substantive critique on energy policy just isn’t newsworthy right now.

    I think the reality is that the media thinks a substantive critique on any policy just isn’t newsworthy ever.

  • maya: “I suspect most Americans haven’t got a clue. The ‘poll’ just gauges knee jerk reaction.”

    Yes, and the media takes that poll, and uses it to cement the opinion into the minds of the public, thus insuring its continuation.

    If the poll would explain things just a LITTLE, it would come out different. But explanations have a well known liberal bias.

  • The Democratic candidate then turned to his own plan: A $150 billion investment over 10 years in alternative energies and fuels. (The funding of this plan is not entirely clear.)

    Oh it’s clear, to the people who just got done putting in an $11 billion quarter. And they will spend whatever it takes to block alternative energies and fuels, because their easy profits depend on it.

    We’re in for a fight of epic proportions.

  • And of course as Krugman explains today, the larger environmental issues – say global warming, for example – will be drowned out, too, as this hysterical push for more and more drilling sweeps through the national psyche. And it’s all based on misinformation and lies and false promises.

    For the record, I don’t think Obama is proposing nearly enough in alternatives, but I understand the politics of it. It’s perfectly all right for Bush to propose spending a trillion to send astronauts to Mars to hit golf balls, but not for Obama to propose spending half that to save the planet from burning up, and as a bonus, deliver us from our addiction to oil with a clean, limitless substitute that can bring the American standard of living to the developing nations as well.

    We just can’t get beyond Republican attack politics, and the public just can’t see what’s going on, and the media won’t inform them. The media is so bad that they’ll manufacture the pointless issue/crisis of the day if McCain doesn’t come up with something juicy himself. Those cable shows are absolutely worthless now.

    I don’t see a solution.

  • The problem is alot of people aren’t just stupid, they’re stupid and greedy. I was at the auto show last year with a friend who looked at nothing but gigantic suv’s. I couldn’t hold back and finally mentioned that some of them were getting 12 mpg. I was told, “Its my right to use as much gas as I want if I want to pay for it.” People are hurting now, but I think they view it as a temporary inconvenience before they can guzzle as much as they want again.

    John McCain is offering the phantom promise of cheaper gas prices to a greedy and stupid public at a time where we’re at a true tipping point. Economically, environmentally, nationall we need to begin the move to alternative fuels and energy sources. Unfortunately, alot of americans are more concerned with their “right” to be wastefull.

    McCain’s message plays well to the cheap seats, Obama’s doesn’t…and the big oil companies are laughing all the way to the bank.

  • You asked the other day which issue Obama should concentrate on. This is the issue. Bush and Cheney were owned by the oil companies and gas prices have tripled during their 8 years. Now McCain has sold his campaign to the oil companies too so no one can realistically expect a change in energy policies from him. The summer gas tax break is really a giveaway to the oil companies. Offshore drilling is really another giveaway to the oil companies. That is the Republicans’ solution to every energy problem, and look where it’s gotten us. The oil companies are making record profits, it’s time to end tax breaks for oil companies and begin solving our energy problems for the long-term.

    And above all, gas prices are going to go down before the election. Don’t believe this means our problems have gone away. Oil companies are willing to forgo a few months of excessive profits in exchange for getting another stooge in the White House for 4 more years. Don’t let them get away with it. Now is the time to finally begin solving our problems instead of delaying them for one more term.

    Obama needs to hammer this message for the next 100 days, this is the issue that affects all of us more than any other.

  • ANWR and the OCS are two of the most expensive places to drill on the planet. A deep-sea test drilling site can cost over $20 million for one bore hole. Drilling year-round in the Arctic Circle is no cheap venture either. What better way to ensure that oil remain expensive by drilling the most expensive holes before doing the cheaper ones.

    And all this talk of opening up more federal lands to oil and gas drilling is a scam as well. Over 600 million federal acres are under lease right now and completely untapped. Yet oil and gas companies are clamoring for more. Oil and gas companies nominate what federal lands go up on the auction block and they are asking for some of the most pristine and formerly off-limits areas in the federal portfolio. They are doing this because in the Bush Administration oil and gas leasing is the BLM’s job #1.

    OIl and gas companies are posting record profits and have very little debt. This lack of leverage isn’t good for their books so they are spending their profits on leases and buying back their stock. By investing in leases they lock up lands in their portfolios that competitors won’t be able to access and gets them back to a leveraged position.

    Buying back stocks increases the value of the stocks remaining out in the public’s hands. And wouldn’t you know it, part of an oil company CEO’s compensation package is based on the value of corporate stock. Spending profits to increase the CEO’s compensation … these are indeed good times to be in the oil and gas business.

  • That last point can be a particularly compelling point, given that once McCain started lying about the benefits of coastal drilling, contributions from oil industry executives soared.

    From “How The World Works” at Salon today (emphasis mine):

    Ho-hum — another record-breaking quarter for Exxon, $11.68 billion in profits. But the company’s share price declined, down $2.84 an hour before the close of trading in New York. The problem? Profits are up, but production is down, again.

    According to Exxon, geopolitical constraints and contract provisions are tying the company’s hands.

    Bloomberg reports:

    Oil and gas output tumbled 7.8 percent after Venezuela seized assets, Nigerian workers went on strike and governments from Angola to Russia kept more crude under contracts that give them a bigger share when prices rise.

    But the problem appears to be a little bit bigger than that, since Bloomberg also observes:

    Exxon Mobil pumped the equivalent of 3.8 million barrels of oil a day, its lowest average since the third quarter of 2005. Crude production declined in every region where the company has wells, and gas output fell everywhere except Russia, Europe and Africa.

    Remember this every time you hear the words “offshore drilling” mentioned. Offshore drilling will have only a trivial influence on the price of gas and will not decrease U.S. dependence on foreign oil one whit. Only a massive reduction in demand and the development of alternative sources of energy will achieve such a promised land. But even just the prospects of increased production could do wonders for the share price of Exxon, should the oil company get some new leases.

    Exxon’s executives must currently be tearing their hair out at their inability to increase production when the price of oil is at an all-time high. Because, as the events of the past few weeks have demonstrated, when the price of oil gets high enough, demand destruction follows, and the price inevitably drops. And suddenly, $11 billion in quarterly profits is ancient history.

    Doing right by Exxon has always been an overriding policy goal for the Bush administration, and now is no exception. Republicans in Congress are snapping to attention. On Wednesday, Senate Republicans successfully filibustered an attempt by Democrats to renew tax credits for solar and wind production, with more Republicans voting against the cloture motion to end debate than had done so in previous efforts to get the credits extended.

    Why the renewed Republican vigor? Republicans are taking advantage of the current concern over energy prices to strengthen their negotiating position. No new tax credits unless Democrats allow more offshore drilling.

  • hark #7: I don’t see a solution.

    The solution is on the ground — it’s the only place left. Voter registration, getting out the vote, monitoring the voting technology, keeping an eye open for voter suppression etc, door-to-door canvassing, etc. It would appear that Obama’s campaign is fully aware of what they’re up against, and that their great strength is on-the-ground support. They have by far the bigger and better organization, better fund-raising capabilities, and much the larger grass- and netroots participation, commitment and enthusiasm.

    We don’t see all that directly through the media, but every now and then the information comes through.

    I share your perplexity about the current poll figures, but underneath it all I sense a movement coalescing and proliferating that will break through and lay to waste most of these doubts and obstacles that are now giving us the jitters.

  • Steve T…comment #1…you could also add that McCain lied about hurricanes not causing oil spills, leaks or damage to drilling platforms resulting in vast pollution of waterways. Offshore drilling is not safe against hurricanes. I love your “he’s lying” statement which unfortunately the media should already be reporting except they are compromised by publicans.

    Barack needs to say what is it called when someone makes a false statement, is corrected and admits it was a mistake and then turns around and repeats the statement again anyway.

    btw…in the movie “Who Killed the Electric Car” a character says he can turn any automobile into an electric car. This means we all don’t have to wonder how we are going to have to buy new cars when old ones can be converted. There is even a video out now that demonstrates how a ‘biker’ transformed his Kawasawki into an electric bike.

    We have the answers to our energy problems but these huge profiteering oil giants are standing in the way of implementing them while they continue to extort money from us by making sure they are the dominate game in town.

  • Americans are problem solvers. High gas prices are a problem, and Americans want to fix it. The problem is that we the Democratic party aren’t putting forth a solid enough solution — or at least the message is getting lost. If Obama would focus on specific alternatives for lowering gas prices — short and long term — it might give people an alternative.

  • this quote should be put in an ad:
    Oil and gas industry executives and employees donated $1.1 million to McCain last month — three-quarters of which came after his June 16 speech calling for an end to the ban — compared with $116,000 in March, $283,000 in April and $208,000 in May.

    To Steve Benen

    Isn’t that another flip flop to add to your list?

    The Republican candidate acknowledges drilling will have little short-term value

    Especially in relation to his admitting that it would only be a psychological benefit to voters.

    compared to:

    we could see the effects of coastal drilling “in a matter of months

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