On foreign policy, does Bush ‘believe what he’s saying?’

The president’s State of the Union was effectively divided into two halves: domestic concerns and foreign policy. If Bush’s body language and tone of voice are any indication of his personal interests, he went through the motions on the first part, and seemed a little more engaged on the second.

Of course, engagement and coherence are very different things. From the address:

“Our foreign policy is based on a clear premise: We trust that people, when given the chance, will choose a future of freedom and peace. In the last seven years, we have witnessed stirring moments in the history of liberty.”

Except in Gaza’s free elections, when people were trusted to vote against Hamas. And in Lebanon, when people were trusted to vote against Hezbollah. And in Pakistan, where Bush has praised Pervez Musharraf as someone who “truly … believes in democracy.” And in Egypt and Saudi Arabia, where Bush abandoned his “freedom agenda” altogether.

“In the coming months, four additional brigades and two Marine battalions will follow suit. Taken together, this means more than 20,000 of our troops are coming home.”

To hear the president tell it, these troops’ return is evidence of success. That’s transparently false, and the White House surely knows it. The 20,000 Americans were sent into Iraq as part of the surge, and now their tours are up. With no brigades left to replace them, the troop drawdown was going to happen, regardless of the conditions on the ground. For Bush to pretend otherwise is to hope Americans just aren’t paying attention to reality.

“We are grateful that there has not been another attack on our soil since 9/11. This is not for the lack of desire or effort on the part of the enemy. In the past six years, we’ve stopped numerous attacks, including a plot to fly a plane into the tallest building in Los Angeles and another to blow up passenger jets bound for America over the Atlantic.”

First, there was another attack on our soil — someone killed Americans with anthrax in 2001. Second, the examples Bush cited as thwarted terrorists plots both appear dubious under scrutiny.

But perhaps highlighting specific errors of fact and judgment is the wrong way to go. Slate’s Fred Kaplan takes a step back and is amazed at that the president “seems to have learned so little about the crises in which he’s immersed his nation so deeply.”

His first words on foreign policy in tonight’s address reprised the theme of previous addresses: “We trust that people, when given the chance, will choose a future of freedom and peace.” He cited, as “stirring” examples of this principle, the “images” of citizens demanding independence in Ukraine and Lebanon, of Afghans emerging from the Taliban’s tyranny, of “jubilant Iraqis holding up ink-stained fingers” to celebrate free elections.

One waited for the president to invoke the lamentable flip side of these images, the retreats and retrenchments that followed (perhaps the “challenges” ahead?)—but he didn’t. Is he still living in the dream world of the spring of 2004? It’s a pleasant world, but it had gone up in smoke by that summer. If we were truly serious about promoting freedom, it would be useful to explore the lessons of those hopes as they were not only stirred but then crushed. As with his previous State of the Union addresses, this was not seen as a time to face reality.

The president, once more, depicted the complex conflicts of our time as one-dimensional struggles between the forces of light and darkness. In the war on terror, he proclaimed, “there is one thing we and our enemies agree on: In the long run, men and women who are free to determine their own destinies will reject terror and refuse to live in tyranny. That is why the terrorists are fighting to deny this choice to people in Lebanon, Iraq, Afghanistan, Pakistan, and the Palestinian Territories.”

The question comes to mind, as it has come to mind in all of these speeches when Bush recites this argument: Does he believe what he’s saying? Does he believe that the violent battles for power in these lands really come down to freedom vs. tyranny? If so, no wonder this government has had such a hard time getting a handle on these dangers, much less trying to engage them.

That’s really the biggest take-away from last night’s address. Much of the audience tuned in hoping to get a sense that the president understood something about the global stage — whether it involved the economy, the war in Iraq, America’s standing in the world, or the nature of the threats against us.

Instead, like Kaplan, we’re left to wonder if Bush even believes his own remarks. A full seven years after taking office, it’s not a good sign.

actually, there’s nothing to wonder about: of course bush believes what he says about foreign policy: everything we know about bush tells us that.

i realize it’s hard to believe that such a simpleton can be in the oval office, which prompts people to wonder, but after 7 years, there should be no wondering left: he’s an ideologically blinkered manichean with limited intelligence and no interest in learning anything new.

cheney, rice, feith, rumsfeld, wolfowitz: none of these people helped, but in the end, the bush era has been a disaster because of bush himself, and his vast limitations.

  • I have to disagree with howard @1. I think we need to know if Bush even knows what he is saying and what it means. Or is he just badly speaking the words that are put in front of him? Before he can believe what he is saying he has to be cognizant of what they mean, and I’m not ready to extend him the benefit of the doubt on this one.

  • We are bringing home four Army brigades and two Marine battalions because their tour of duty is up—and because they’re no longer fully combat-ready. Their equipment is either worn out, patched piecemeal, or just flat-out smashed to smithereens. Of the four Army units, I doubt there’s enough service-ready equipment and material amongst them all—combined—to field one fully-ordnanced brigade.

    I read just yesterday that the “One-Cav” came home and won’t be re-deployed. It’s a busted unit—under-equipped and under-manned. They can’t get enough fresh meat to plug the gaps, and there’s a huge back-log for equipment. Up-armored Humvees are in short supply, and the new “IED-stopper” transport is already proven vulnerable.

    I don’t think it’s so much any more that Bu$h believes his own crap, as it is that he’s running out of options to keep the wolves at bay. He’s got 257 days to go—and I wouldn’t dismiss the notion of his taking a “vacation from Washington” that has him absent from the WH on January 20….

  • Just imagine..less than one year to go..and George W. Bush will be gone from the White House! Let’s hope the buffoon can’t cause too much damage in this time. I hope the Iranians have a safe year. RP08!

  • Bush isn’t demented. His single goal is to grow and maintain the wealth of his friends and family in high places. Every issue, every policy, every effort, every action, every word is deliberately crafted and spun with this specific aim. No exceptions.

  • Bush is incapable of understanding complexity and has no sense of irony. I wish he would take all of the accumulated vacation time of all his predecessors and use them. Return to Crawford now. Make history by stepping down.

  • I was waiting for him to say, “Daddy, I don’t want to play preznit no more!” and start crying at the poduim.

  • hope [that] Americans just aren’t paying attention to reality.

    A neater summary of Republican strategy since Reagan’s inauguration I’ve never read.

    The depressing thing is that until last November, it was a wildly successful strategy.

  • Bush is NOT stupid, contrary to popular opinion. He is doing exactly what he intended…make his allies very very rich no matter the cost in human misery along the way. He is morally bankrupt, not stupid.

  • Jen…. do you really want the president to step down? Have you thought about the implications of Cheney as acting president?

    As much as I dislike Bush, I much rather have him at the helm, at least we know what we have…. Cheney on the other hand, with no legacy to improve upon, could care less what the world thinks of him.

    I don’t even want my brain to think what he’s capable of.

  • “…we’re left to wonder if Bush even believes his own remarks.”

    I think he truly does believe what he says. He doesn’t understand what he says and can’t evaluate what he says, but he believes it, and that’s what matters. And he know that if he says what he believes, others will believe it too. What he doesn’t know is that believing doesn’t make it so.

    Of course, just having to ask the question is itself a sad indictment.

  • Bush has constructed a fantasy world for himself. In his world, he’s a great leader, democracy is on the march, Iraq is an unfolding success and the economy is strong. He is unable to process the fact that Iraq is an open wound, Afghanistan is sliding into narco-anarchy, the frontier provinces of Pakistan are being Talibanized, and an economy that works like the snake that eats its own tail is on the verge of a serious re-adjustment. Manifest failure is rewarded with promotion and even a Medal of Freedom. Candor is grounds for dismissal (See: Paul O’Neill).

    So, of course Bush believes what he’s saying; in his delusion it’s all true.

  • The question that I was asking four years ago was: “Is Bush a pathological liar or totally delusional?”

    As a totally delusional pathological liar, does it matter whether Bush the Junior believes what he says?

    Today’s question: “Did you believe Bush when he said that God talked to him?”
    Answer: Of course, as long as you assume that Cheney is God…

    Impeach Bush! Impeach Cheney! Then turn them over to an International Tribunal for their ‘Crimes Against Humanity’!!!

  • A correction to #3 Steve…

    As of 2:00 P.M. (EST) today, there are 356 days 22 hours left until Noon on January 20th, 2009 when the next president will be sworn in… Assuming Cheney does not declare martial law & remain in office…

    Deliver us from evil…

  • Uh, “we’ve stopped numerous attacks, including … another to blow up passenger jets bound for America over the Atlantic” ? I seem to recall that the British “stopped” that “attack.” BushCo’s involvement was to force the British to act before they felt they were ready to do so.
    Again, another (of thousands) example of revising reality to maintain an ideology’s comic book fantasies for the general public.

  • All this finger pointing at Bush as if he’s the only one responsible for our current disaster is off the mark by a mile. He’s a joker incapable of pulling any of this off alone. He’s had the full support of the republican party. Remember ALL republican senators have voted for the Protect Bush’s Ass Act currently in the senate. In every single thing Bush demanded he had the full support of his party. There should be a round up of Feith, Rumsfeld,Wolfowitch, Flietcher(sp), Rove, Gonzales and all others who were part of this failed dictatorship to be held accountable. How can the republicans now sit back and act like they weren’t all named Bush or Cheney?
    Soon now there will be a call from Republicans for all the things Bush was doing that were part of his corruption of the executive branch to be stopped in order to make sure democrats don’t have the same powers. It was all ok and great up until it looks like dems would have the same options and now it will become outrageous. Something no one should be doing. The secrecy by which this administration functioned will now become intolerable to republicans. Obama will say “you were bad boys and now we are going to get back to governing like we should be” and they will say “yeah, okay” and then secretly plot how to best obstruct democratic plans to make sure they have no successes.
    We must not isolate the Bush/Cheney disaster from the republican party for they were and are the same thing. You don’t invite the thieves in to wrap the wedding gifts.

    What is truly pathetic is that Bush could have made reference to He and Cheney burning babies and there would be those in the audience who would still applaud. No matter how he spins it, most people can see the real SOTU and it spells disaster.

  • I absolutely agree w/ everything said here. And yet: what’s truly scary is how we all let it happen. The Democrats folded from day 1; they are just as culpable. We all folded. The pace of how fast honest poliitical dialog declined is amazing; I don’t even recognize this country as democratic anymore. We have no further meaningful dialog; even this web page and its comments offer nothing constructive.

    Every candidate out there is selling “socking it to the other guy; and let me keep what I have.” Find someone else to blame.

    The saddest part of the SOTU was Bush rhetorically asking if anyone “enjoyed paying taxes”, then trailing off mockingly. Our leadership is not only convinced that everyone wants a free ride and no obligation, but they want to convince us of that as well.

    I.e. Bush is the symptom, not the cause. I wish I knew what the causes of our present conditions are, but I don’t. All I know is that all of us as citizens are responsible for this.

    That being said, I’ve never hated a politician as much as I’ve hated this one. But, it’s my coping mechanism, not a solution.

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