Democratic strategist Jim Jordan, who is not affiliated with either presidential campaign, told the LA Times last night, “Anybody who says past this point that this is good for the party or good for the nominee is a fool.” The candidates, he said are “exhausted, they’re more likely to make mistakes, and they’re raising each […]
Clinton capitalizes, contest continues
Shortly after the polls closed in Pennsylvania last night, Marc Ambinder noted that the one metric that really mattered wasn’t delegates or popular votes, but money. Most notably, Hillary Clinton’s lack of it. Clinton was easily outspent in Pennsylvania — by most measures, by more than a 2-to-1 margin — but she started with far […]
The show must will go on
It figures, doesn’t it? After 16 months of campaigning, primaries and caucuses in 43 states, a couple dozen debates, and ungodly sums of money spent on campaign ads, Pennsylvania was poised to make a real difference. A landslide win by Hillary Clinton (as predicted by initial polls in March) might have fundamentally reshaped the race. […]
Pennsylvania Overnight Open Thread
There was a very small chance that the race for the Democratic nomination would effectively end this evening, in the event of an Obama upset. That’s clearly not the case — Clinton will win Pennsylvania. As of now, with 45% of precincts reporting, her lead is about eight points. This means, of course, that the […]
Networks call Pennsylvania for Clinton, but margin unclear
MSNBC, ABC, CBS, and Fox News are all reporting that Hillary Clinton will win the Pennsylvania’s Democratic primary. The margin of victory, however, will likely make all the difference. A narrow win for Clinton may end up looking like a moral victory for Barack Obama. Indeed, there are some reports this evening that the Obama […]
The generally unreliable exit polls are available
Early exit polls have not only been wrong throughout the Democratic primaries and caucuses, they’ve also frequently been wrong in Barack Obama’s favor. Something to keep in mind. Nevertheless, there’s an appetite for the data — what else are people going to do while waiting for results? — so here are the numbers that are […]
Tuesday’s Mini-Report
Today’s edition of quick hits. * We may not need to stay up too late tonight: “Polls close at 8 p.m. State elections officials tell us that results from the bigger cities will start trickling in within the hour, but fuller results may not be known until at least 9:30 or 10 p.m. The smaller […]
What to expect when you’re expecting (Pennsylvania primary results)
You know what we should look for in today’s Democratic Pennsylvania primary? News items telling us what to look for in today’s Democratic Pennsylvania primary. They seem to be everywhere. The Washington Post’s Dan Balz highlights the “8 Questions About The Pennsylvania Primary.” The Politico’s Carrie Budoff Brown and Ken Vogel deliver the “Five things […]
Step II in defining McCain: He’s really wealthy
Progressive Media USA unveiled its first television ad of the campaign season last week, noting the striking similarities between John McCain and George W. Bush, down to the word-for-word talking points they share. This week, PMUSA unveiled its second spot, a web video that might make it difficult for McCain to accuse anyone of elitism. […]
McCain advance teams need a little work
John McCain visited Gee’s Bend, Alabama, yesterday, in order to take a ferry ride across the Alabama river. It was a nice, little photo-op on a key piece of local infrastructure. As a Republican National Committee spokesperson said, “The ferry he will be riding is very important to that community. It’s both a good and […]