Republicans’ none-of-the-above problem

One of the striking things about the large field of Republican presidential candidates is just how diverse it is. No, not in the traditional sense of diversity — they’re all wealthy, middle-aged, Christian white guys — but in the sense there’s a candidate for the various factions of the party.

Some have decades of experience in Washington; some have experience at the state level. Some have a strong business background; some have a strong military background. There are governors, senators, House members, an actor, and a mayor. There are candidates from the West coast, East coast, Bible belt, Midwest, Southwest, and New England. The neocons are represented (Giuliani), as are the theocons (Huckabee), the Know-Nothings (Tancredo), the libertarians (Paul), and whatever the hell McCain and Romney are this week.

Given all of these choices, it’s amazing that a huge field like this has apparently driven the entire party into fits of frustration — not at the difficulty in picking among strong candidates, but in realizing that their seven remaining candidates are probably best described as the Seven Dwarves, none of whom can bring the party together.

For three decades, the Republican presidential nominating contest has served to unify the national party’s coalition of social, economic and foreign policy conservatives in advance of a general election fight with Democrats.

This year, it is ripping that coalition apart. […]

Among members of Congress, the lobbying shops on K Street and the local GOP committees in Iowa and New Hampshire, Republicans are divided, confused and sometimes demoralized about their choices for president. With less than two weeks left before voting begins, the party’s rank and file are being asked to ratify a new direction for the GOP amid the clash of a chaotic and wide-open campaign.

I don’t imagine the Republicans would be willing to just skip the nominating process and let GOP voters write in their favorite next November, but given the widespread disappointment, they might as well.

Soul-searching during a presidential campaign is typical for the Democratic Party, which seems to engage in philosophical rethinking every four years. But it is a rarer instance for Republicans, who typically rally around an establishment candidate, a consensus “next-in-line” who would be a shoo-in for the nomination.

That kind of party discipline helped George H.W. Bush win the nomination in 1988, gave a boost to former Kansas senator Robert J. Dole in 1996 and was crucial to George W. Bush’s victory in 2000. But finding a successor to President Bush, and a new direction for the party, is proving to be more difficult.

“I’m homeless,” said Jack Kemp, a former congressman and housing secretary in President George H.W. Bush’s administration and the party’s vice presidential nominee in 1996. “There isn’t that Reagan sense of optimism, of an inclusionary Republican Party.”

“It’s about as clear as mud,” said Rep. Patrick T. McHenry (R-N.C.), who has talked to Giuliani and has met with Romney and former senator Fred D. Thompson (Tenn.) but remains undecided.

For conservatives, the flaws of each major candidate are just too glaring, GOP lawmakers say.

Giuliani tends to win them on economic issues, but they cannot get by his stand on social issues. They like Huckabee on the social agenda, but do not trust his economic stands. They like the Romney they see now, but they cannot forget the positions he once embraced in Massachusetts. And they dislike McCain’s opposition to Bush’s first-term tax cuts and his crusade to overhaul campaign finance laws.

You’ll notice, of course, that this equation omits Fred Thompson, who is at least marginally a top-tier candidate, and who probably could have been the one guy with no glaring GOP flaws, were it not for the fact that he apparently doesn’t want to actually run for president.

Best of all, the party is receiving very little help from the top, where George W. Bush is a weight on the party’s shoulders, and a name practically verboten among leading GOP contenders. Traditionally, an incumbent, retiring president can help establish a path for his party to follow. Not so much this cycle.

It’s hard to overstate how entertaining it is to see the party that relies almost exclusively on unity wander aimlessly with no direction or leadership. To be sure, this could change once there’s a Democratic nominee Republicans can rally in opposition to. But what does it say about the modern Republican Party that they need a Dem to save their electoral chances?

Usually you could count on the GOP to unify behind whoever eventually wins the nomination, but this year might be the exception.

The party establishment (the big money boys) will try to defeat Huckabee and chances are they will succeed, but that may cause the Fundies to sit out the election rather than vote for the alternative. With his current support and funding, Paul might go 3rd party (ala Ross Perot) which will draw votes away from the GOP and not the Dems.

OTOH, expect 99% or better of the Dems to vote for whoever wins their nomination.

  • It says that they are uncomfortable with each other in their “big tent.” The social conservatives and their religious footsoldiers don’t care much about the neocon issues, and vice versa.

    There are actually quite a few unifying themes for Republican candidates: lower taxes uber alles, more militarism and war, more surveillance to protect us from “the terrorists,” less government regulation of business, more government regulation of individual behavior, no government involvement whatsoever in the the nation’s health insurance mess, and Anybody but Hillary for president. The Republicans’ greater problem is the one CB pointed out – their candidates are (I love this) The Seven Dwarfs.

    But with a platform like the one I outlined, how could there possibly be a candidate of any standing who could run on it? And how appealing is it to folks in the middle of the political spectrum?

  • I can tell you what John McCain is and it is something you will always be the opposite of. John McCain is a hero and the opposite of that is what “oh thats right a zero.” He made sacrifices for his country what have you done lately besides hide behind a blogsite and spew about things that you know nothing about? He has sacrificed and done his part and is still volunteering for his country what have you sacrificed or personally done for your country? This rag of a blogsite don’t count.

  • I wish the trolls could write in standard English, not Bush English.

    I wonder if part of the problem is that single issue groups have taken over the Republican party. For decades it was a party for businessmen, pragmatic people. The Democrats since the ’60s have tended to splinter into single issue groups and that has prevented us from electing Presidents. Now the Republicans have “purity” issues to deal with.

  • [I will probably regret this, but…]

    One might ask you the same question, Vicki…what are you doing for your country except hanging out at blogsites? And one you consider a “rag,” at that?

    No one denies McCain his service to his country, or the sacrifices he made in that endeavor. No one. But service to country doesn’t give anyone an exemption from scrutiny of his or her actions from that point forward. If it did, John Kerry would not have been viciously attacked, would he?

    Your hero has some serious honesty issues – and you can start looking at them by doing a little reading about the savings and loan scandal some years ago; try Googling “Keating Five” to find out more.

    He’s currently under scrutiny for his dealings with a DC lobbyist; I haven’t decided if that one is going to be just about the money, or is going to have a racier component, but your hero has lawyered up and is furiously denying and dissembling in a most interesting way.

    Your hero seems to have a distinct problem remembering what he says to whom, and when. His current statements touting his own prescience on Iraq war policy are among the best examples of someone who thinks we can’t go back and find his earlier statements and compare them to see that he was less prescient than he was just plain wrong. Wrong, Vicki – and this is the man who wants to be in charge of the military.

    So…just so you understand, Vicki, we’re letting McCain’s military service stand – that’s not really germane to the discussion about whether he can be president – and are not attacking or smearing him for it. We’re looking at his life in a different public arena – just as the Republicans are looking at the Democrats.

    Don’t know why I’m going to the trouble to write this, since you couldn’t possibly still be here at this “rag,” could you?

  • … the party that relies almost exclusively on unity wonder aimlessly with no direction or leadership.

    CB, “wonder” should read “wander.”

  • Hey Vicki,

    Hero–smchero. Being a hero doesn’t entitle someone to be president. “Old Tippecanoe” (war hero William Henry Harrison) didn’t last long as our ninth president. Harrison died at the age of 68 and John McCain will turn 72 next August.

  • i hope CB will do an article on the Ron Paul interview on MTP this morning. $10 million raised in the last two days; probably not a snowball’s chance in hell that he can get the nom BUT he is speaking to the issues that are on lots of folks’ minds. I’d love to know what impact he can make on BOTH parties, altho by virtually ruling out a 3 party bid for the presidency he takes some of the pressure of both the reps and the dems.

  • Huckabee needs to be stopped in Iowa (otherwise he goes on to win South Carolina, etc.), and the only person with a chance to stop him in Iowa is Romney. In his 1992 contest with Dale Bumpers, Huckabee used campaign funds to pay himself as his own media consultant. Other payments were given to his babysitter. In 1994, he set up the Action America group so he could give speeches for money without having to disclose the names of his benefactors. He failed to report that campaign travel payments were used to finance the use of his own personal plane. He converted a governor’s mansion operating account into a personal expense account, claiming public money for a doghouse, dry-cleaning bills, panty hose and meals at Taco Bell. Inauguration funds were used to buy clothing for his wife. THREE DECADES after their wedding, his wife registered at department stores so their new home, not the governor’s mansion, could be stocked with gifts of linens, toasters and other items. He was sanctioned SIX TIMES by the Arkansas Ethics Commission. The Democrats would have a field day with this guy as the Republican nominee for President.

  • Here’s something I just got in email. It’s length is what’s truly astounding. It should be sent to every Democrat everywhere.

    —————

    his afternoon, the White House confirmed that a quickly contained blaze isolated to a storage room utility closet on the third floor of the Eisenhower Executive Office building destroyed the following records:

    all records pertaining to:

    All Executive Branch internal correspondence since January, 2001
    All RNC computer servers, back-up servers, and archival back-ups
    The original Downing Street Memo and associated notes
    Valerie Plame and the White House investigation of the leak (W.H. UPDATE: no records of Valerie Plame investigation destroyed as there was no investigation)
    Bandar Bush
    God’s personal correspondence with President Bush including those related to the invasion of Iraq
    No-bid Halliburton contracts
    War crimes committed by U.S. contractors in Iraq
    Troop body armor tests and procurement orders
    Jessica Lynch
    The pulling down of the Saddam statue by non-Iraqis
    All unaccounted for money in Iraq
    The “troops” fault to not guard the weapons stockpile in Iraq
    Abu Ghraib
    Scuttling of the original Abramoff investigation, by the President
    Federal court appointees and their qualifications and records
    Extraordinary rendition
    Negroponte’s activities in Iraq
    Judith Miller’s embedded reporting and using her influence to override generals
    Bombing Al-Jazeera television
    “Mission Accomplished”
    Bribing and threatening of journalists and planting of stories in the U.S and Iraq
    Stopping the NY Times from revealing White House secret spying on Americans
    Jeff Gannon/Guckert
    De-baathification and the breakup of the Iraqi army
    Swift Boat vets
    Terror alerts
    Bumper sticker and T-shirt slogan monitoring
    Florida 2000 voter suppression
    Florida 2000 election over-votes
    Bush v. Gore court papers
    Richard Clark’s warnings about abandoning anti-terror and a returning to the military-industrial profiteering of the cold war
    Pre 9/11 domestic spying
    The Vice Presidents Energy Task Force and all meetings dividing up Iraq’s oil fields pre 9/11
    Bush’s vacation records
    Enron and all related activities during California’s “energy crisis”
    The accompanying Gray Davis recall and Ken Lay meetings
    The Congressional records relating to passing legislation with last second changes, midnight votes, and the minority excluded from committee meetings.
    The Missile defense shield
    The U.S. national debt and holders of the debt
    The Healthy Forest legislation and associated crop yields
    The Clear Skies legislation and new acceptable levels of toxic emissions
    Able Danger and the post-it notes hiding Mohammad Atta
    The “Bin Laden determined to Strike in U.S.” PDB
    All copies of “My Pet Goat”
    Extrication of Saudis after 9/11, especially Saudis named “Bin Laden”
    The 9/11 commission
    All confiscated video tapes from 9/11 showing impact with Pentagon
    Bush and Cheney’s joint un-sworn “conversation” with the 9/11 commission
    Library checkout and Amazon shopping records of every American
    Bin Laden’s actual location after he “escaped” from Tora Bora
    Yellowcake documents from Niger
    Curveball
    Colin Powell’s United Nations speech
    Ahmad Chalabi
    Attempts to dismantle PBS
    Using FCC’s fines to quash dissent
    The IRS collection of political affiliations
    Using American troops as speech props for Presidential speeches
    Diebold
    Ohio voter suppression
    Terri Schiavo and the emergency session of Congress
    Questioning the full faith and credit of the United States to scare people into dismantling Social Security
    Payola related to the Medicare bill
    Targeting and surveillance of peace lovers as terrorists
    Hurricane Katrina
    Oil profits and tens of billions of dollars of general fund giveaways to oil companies
    Multiple consecutive tours of combat for National Guardsmen
    The $200 million bridges to nowhere
    New Orleans levies
    Harriet Miers nomination to the Supreme Court
    Bill Frist and the FEC and insider trading
    Alito and the Vanguard Fund
    Bob Ney of Ohio and Coingate
    Duke Cunningham of San Diego and related bribes and treason
    The U.S. Attorney firings of the U.S. Attorney who prosecuted Duke Cunningham and who was pursuing the investigation to the White House.
    Tom Delay’s redistricting in TX and using anti-terror assets to track down legislators
    Tom Delay’s ethics violations
    Jack Abramoff
    NSA wiretapping without warrants
    The failing grade from the 9/11 commission
    Data mining and reading your mail
    The 5 million missing emails

    also destroyed were all records related to:

    Bush’s cocaine use and failure to take the ANG drug test
    Bush’s drunk driving
    Bush’s Texas Air National Guard service
    Bush’s Arbusto stock sale, Saudi bailout, and lack of SEC follow-up
    Bush’s insider trading at Harken and Bush 41’s quashing of the investigation
    Bush’s stealing of a public stadium from the taxpayers of Texas
    Cheney’s Wyoming residency papers
    Police response to Cheney shooting a man in the face after drinking
    Push-polling smear on John McCain during the 2000 Republican primary
    All original video masters of Steven Colbert’s Press Corps dinner roast

    Countless other records and computer systems were apparently stored in the 3 foot by 3 foot utility closet, the content of which shall be revealed as destroyed as necessary pending any future investigations.

    BREAKING: word that the Constitution of the United States was inexplicably consumed by flames in its nuclear blast-proof storage case by a glowing ember that apparently drifted from the Eisenhower Executive Office Building and into a thermal exhaust port that lead directly to the Constitution. No plans to reconstruct the document are pending.

    : : :

    UPDATE:

    Also confirmed destroyed:

    All records of clients of the DC Madame
    All IMs and emails between Republican congressmen and underage Congressional staffers
    Secret Service records of all people having meetings with the President and Vice President since January 2001
    All recorded promises, affirmations, and statements by Democratic Congressional leaders to hold the Administration accountable

    : : :

    UPDATE 2

    Continuing reports of records stored in the third floor closet and subsequently destroyed also include all records pertaining to:

    Pat Tillman
    Free Speech zones
    Iranian Nuclear Program National Intelligence Estimate
    Guantanamo
    FEMA staged news conferences
    New Orleans reconstruction contracts
    and
    Administration banning of U.S. meat companies from inspecting all of their meat

    : : :

    UPDATE 3

    Still more records reported completely destroyed include all items relating to:

    Alberto Gonzales’ memory (and “meeting” with Ashcroft in hospital)
    De-listed superfund toxic waste dump sites
    The original Nixon Tapes
    “Missing” Weapons of Mass Destruction from Iraq
    Bernard Kerik’s Homeland Security application form
    and tragically
    Joe Lieberman’s Democratic Party membership card

    : : :

    UPDATE 4

    Apparently the quantity of records destroyed was a result of a broken water pipe that has been scheduled for repair since 2001. As the sprinkler system was not functioning, the Blackwater employees hired to guard the records could only throw more records onto the flames in an attempt to contain them.

    Additional records from a neighboring closet presently unaccounted for that are believed to have been destroyed in the fire now include items related to:

    All subpoenas issued by the U.S. Congress to White House employees
    Walter Reed facility maintenance
    NASA’s evidence of global warming (redacted and sealed by the administration)
    Looting of the Native American Trust Fund
    Forensic reports from 2001 anthrax attacks against key Democrats and media
    Dubai Ports deal
    Under-funding of Russian loose nuclear materials security programs
    Guidelines for putting American citizens on no-fly and terror watch lists
    The Vice President’s red phone that directly connects the Vice-President’s office to the on-air Fox news desk (possibly salvageable)

    More details of the devastating fire to come…

  • Reminds me of a plot line in the original ‘Rollerball’ where the entire 14th (or whichever) century’s history gets lost, do to a ‘computer problem’. With no history, the mistakes just keep comin’, over and over. It’s very much like doom.

  • What I love about this is that Bush, that endless f*ckup, has ruined his beloved party for anyone who isn’t him. What do you get if you cross Giuliani’s tumescent ardor for war, torture and the Tax Fairy with Huckabee’s social-reactionary views and Romney’s transparent contempt for the intelligence of his audience? Dubya himself.

    Never doubt that if he were eligible to run, he’d get that nomination again in a walkover.

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