Slipping support in the military

With his political support still suffering, the president can at least count on broad support among men and women in uniform, right? According to the 2005 Military Times Poll, perhaps not. (via Political Wire)

Support for President Bush and for the war in Iraq has slipped significantly in the last year among members of the military’s professional core, according to the 2005 Military Times Poll.

Approval of the president’s Iraq policy fell 9 percentage points from 2004; a bare majority, 54 percent, now say they view his performance on Iraq as favorable. Support for his overall performance fell 11 points, to 60 percent, among active-duty readers
of the Military Times newspapers. Though support both for President Bush and for the war in Iraq remains significantly higher than in the public as a whole, the drop is likely to add further fuel to the heated debate over Iraq policy. In 2003 and 2004, supporters of the war in Iraq pointed to high approval ratings in the Military Times Poll as a signal that military members were behind President Bush’s the president’s policy.

The poll also found diminished optimism that U.S. goals in Iraq can be accomplished, and a somewhat smaller drop in support for the decision to go to war in 2003.

To be fair, there are a few caveats. The survey was conducted through the mail, which affects the sample and margin of error. Moreover, as the Military Times noted, respondents to the poll tend to be “older, more experienced, more likely to be officers and more career-oriented than the military population.” But with these details in mind, one might expect the president’s support to be higher, not lower. For that matter, because previous Military Times polls were conducted the same way with the same audience, comparisons are helpful in showing trends.

And at this point, the trend is towards less support for the president and his agenda, not more. For that matter, it’s not just Bush — the same poll showed a decrease in support for Congress and civilian and uniformed Pentagon leaders.

This is going back a ways, but Benjamin Wallace-Wells had a terrific piece in the November 2003 issue of the Washington Monthly on the slow but steady decline of the bond between the GOP and the U.S. military since the war in Iraq began. As Wallace-Wells explained, soldiers and their families feel as if they’ve been neglected and mistreated.

It seems we’re now seeing the results.

In fact, it’s also worth remembering the Army Times’ devastating 2003 editorial about Republicans’ priorities when it comes to Americans in uniform.

In recent months, President Bush and the Republican-controlled Congress have missed no opportunity to heap richly deserved praise on the military. But talk is cheap — and getting cheaper by the day, judging from the nickel-and-dime treatment the troops are getting lately.

For example, the White House griped that various pay-and-benefits incentives added to the 2004 defense budget by Congress are wasteful and unnecessary — including a modest proposal to double the $6,000 gratuity paid to families of troops who die on active duty. This comes at a time when Americans continue to die in Iraq at a rate of about one a day.

Similarly, the administration announced that on Oct. 1 it wants to roll back recent modest increases in monthly imminent-danger pay (from $225 to $150) and family-separation allowance (from $250 to $100) for troops getting shot at in combat zones.

Then there’s military tax relief — or the lack thereof. As Bush and Republican leaders in Congress preach the mantra of tax cuts, they can’t seem to find time to make progress on minor tax provisions that would be a boon to military homeowners, reservists who travel long distances for training and parents deployed to combat zones, among others. […]

Taken piecemeal, all these corner-cutting moves might be viewed as mere flesh wounds. But even flesh wounds are fatal if you suffer enough of them…. Money talks — and we all know what walks.

This isn’t the kind of dynamic Karl Rove & Co. can fix with a few more photo-ops on military bases. The Bush gang may want to back up the signs that say “Supporting the Military” with some actual substance that shows support for the military. Just a thought.

I wonder if the growing disaffection has translated into anything substantive beyond opinion. Any trend data on disciplinary issues (particularly insubordination, AWOL, & desertion), CB? This is important, because the leadership has to be confident the troops will obey their marching orders if they are ordered into Iran or Syria. Not only that, but that they will not mutiny or support a coup against the GOP. I wonder what the threshold has to be before we have to seriously ponder that possibility

  • ET,

    It’s because the Democrats publicly support cutting the Defense budget. The Repugs play on that and the general military population hears it without bothering to check the facts. Just like the rest of the American population.

  • For disciplinary issues- you would have a hard time figuring out the numbers. A lot of stuff here is being washed under the rug. The usual rumor mill (go hot on a piss test and get chaptered out!) has led a number of people in the base here to try those methods to get out. One person even punched a senior NCO in front of the PX to try to get chaptered in lieu of deploying again.

    Well, the Army hasn’t been falling for those. Most of them are handled with simple Company Grade Article 15s, which don’t get placed on any permanent record, and which include loss of rank and extra duty as punishments.

    I can say with full confidence that there are some morale issues, but soldiers are generally feeling that they are fucked no matter what. If they leave, they could get called up again, so many are re-enlisting because that at least gives them a bonus and, maybe, a choice of assignments.

  • “One person even punched a senior NCO in front of the PX to try to get chaptered in lieu of deploying again.”

    Holy crap!

    I’m with you on the hopelessness the soldiers are feeling. It’s good that the mood hasn’t translated into anything organized or else things are going to get really ugly, but they may be ripe for just that kind of thing.

  • This is a really good article………………………a good article to poop on! If I told you to jump off a bridge you would probably do it if you believe this crap. I deployed 8 mo in Afghanistan and a year here in Iraq. Lets ask the troops here fighting how about?? Oh yea they couldn’t answer and mail in their response because they were doing their jobs here. This article isn’t worth the broke ass pencil it was written with. The Majority of service members here defiantly believes in what they are doing and supports Pres Bush. I know you can’t believe it because the article said his ratings are falling. Well BS. Give us a survey here, the ones fighting, they ones paying the price. I think the results would surprise you….and another thing, the soldiers and Marines here are disciplined and do their job. If you have some fighting and doing BS things to get out they after they are punished we will kick them out, that’s just a lack of discipline. There are those that think “I will do drugs before deployment and then get out of deploying” nope. They deploy to but simply sit in the brig in Kuwait. Quit fooling yourself and believing everything you read. Semper Fi

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