If you’re an experienced Republican economist willing to toe the party line on tax cuts, deficits, rewriting the tax code, and trade, pack your bags. You’re needed in Washington.
The chairmanship of the Council of Economic Advisers will soon be vacant, and two spots on the Federal Reserve Board that were recently filled by academic economists already are. There is no assistant secretary of the Treasury for tax policy, and the director’s chair at the Congressional Budget Office, currently occupied by Douglas J. Holtz-Eakin, will soon be empty, too.
The White House and Congress need as many as five academic economists of high caliber, and it’s not obvious where they will come from. The Republican Party may be facing something of a shallow bench.
This isn’t an accident. Why would a qualified economist want to work for a White House that marginalizes and ignores real economic advice? If someone works in academia, he or she risks giving up a tenured position to work for a White House that doesn’t take fiscal sanity seriously. If he or she works in the private sector, they risk giving up a lucrative salary for a post that could weaken their reputation. The result is an administration that can’t hire real economists, because no one even wants to return the White House’s phone calls.
This also isn’t an entirely new problem for the Bush gang. After the election, Treasury Secretary John Snow was as good as gone. One senior administration official said Snow can stay as long as he wants, “provided it is not very long.” Then, all of a sudden, Snow was invited to stay on. Why? Because no one else wanted the job.
Who can blame them? Bush’s first Treasury secretary, Paul O’Neill, was shown the door when he opposed a second round of tax cuts for the wealthy in light of swelling deficits. Glenn Hubbard, who served as the chairman of the White House Council of Economic Advisors, was made to look pretty foolish when the Bush gang had him promote policies he’d argued against as a scholar.
And now the White House can’t find an economist who wants to move to DC to work for Bush. I wonder if the Bush gang even understands why they’re having trouble.