Almost immediately after Bush announced his nomination of Harriet Miers to the Supreme Court, the Republican base expressed frustration, and in some circles, outrage. Over the rest of the week, Bush aides, along with a select few allies who have been convinced of Miers’ right-wing bona fides, have gone go to great lengths to placate critics and alleviate their fears. The effort has, at least so far, not gone well.
This week’s discussion group topic: what should Dems do now?
Given their numbers, Dems approach every confirmation fight at a serious disadvantage. This one is slightly different, however, because it’s the first such controversy where the Bush White House is facing such widespread discontent among its own supporters. In the short term, Dems have been happy to sit back and watch the right attack each other. It’s been relatively effective, but Dems still have to figure out what to do next.
It’s hardly inconceivable that several far-right Republican senators could vote with Senate Dems and defeat Miers’ nomination, either in committee or on the floor. The question then becomes whether this would be beneficial to Dems or not. There seems to be two schools of thought here:
* Help Miers get confirmed — Dems don’t know with certainty just how conservative a justice Miers would be, so if she fails or her nomination is pulled, Miers’ replacement could be considerably worse (say hello to Supreme Court Justice Janice Rogers Brown). There’s ample reason for the left to be worried about Miers, but there’s at least a sliver of hope she wouldn’t be a disaster. If Bush and Rove get another shot at this, there won’t be.
* Help derail Miers’ nomination — If Miers’ nomination fails, it’s another embarrassing political debacle for the president (approval rating in the 20s, here we come) and it would further highlight the Republicans-can’t-govern narrative in advance of the midterm elections. Moreover, the idea that Bush and Rove would nominate someone who could be even slightly moderate is terribly naive. Miers will be Clarence Thomas in a dress, so there’s no downside to defeating her.
As a matter of respect for institutional government, most serious people would oppose Miers’ nomination, if for no other reason, because she’s clearly unqualified. But principles aside, Dems have crass political considerations to weigh.
If you’re advising the caucus on strategy, what’s your call?