In our two-party system, there are bound to be divisions and conflicts between intra-party factions. For the Republicans, the most common is between social and economic conservatives. For Democrats, it’s not unusual to see flare-ups between labor unions and free-traders.
But Democratic consultant Mike Lux wrote a provocative piece this week about a budding new divide “between the party establishment and the emerging (and rapidly strengthening) outsider progressives.” Unlike most internal party divisions, this one isn’t exactly ideological — there are populists in the establishment and pragmatist outsiders. Instead, Lux identified the camps this way:
In Camp A, the establishment camp, I am thinking of people nervous about Democrats being too aggressive in ending the Iraqi war; former Democratic staffers who are comfortable about going to work as a lobbyist or consultant for big corporate clients; people who endorsed Lieberman in his primary last year; people who are strongly pro-free trade; campaign consultants who still believe in spending most of a campaign’s budget on broadcast TV ads; and people disdainful of bloggers and MoveOn.org.
In Camp B, the outsider/progressive camp, I am thinking of writers and avid readers of the blogosphere along with members of MoveOn.org; supporters of Howard Dean’s 50-state strategy; people who believe Democrats should do everything in their power, ASAP, to get us out of Iraq; and people who believe that strong labor and environmental problems should be negotiated into trade packages.
Both camps have power, numbers, and resources, but disagree on strategy with increasing frequency. Lux, who admits to having a “foot in both camps,” asks progressives a fairly straightforward question: “[W]hat is our strategy in approaching this divide?”
Lux suggests there are two courses for the outsider/progressive camp to follow:
1. Ratchet up the intensity of the battle and aggressively take the fight to the establishment everywhere we can. Pick fights with the establishment folks in every way possible; run progressives in as many primaries as we can; do everything possible to wrest control of the Democratic Party machinery away from the establishment.
2. Pick our fights carefully while continuing to build the movement. This strategy would accept that the battle will last for years to come. We would fight like hell on the issue battles and primaries that matter, but in the meantime, declare truces in the lead-up to the general elections and on certain issue fights that everyone agrees on (like the House 100 Hours agenda). We could even look for common ground on good policy initiatives coming from the establishment political leaders.
It leads to more than a few questions.
Which of these two strategies would be better for long-term Democratic success?
If the outsiders try to wrest control of the party’s establishment machinery, will it help Republicans (and hurt the country) in the short term?
If outsiders are going to “pick our fights carefully,” what kind of criteria would activists choose?
Because the outsiders’ camp is decentralized, and is bottom-up instead of top-down, is all of this moot? (In other words, won’t activists pick their preferred fights regardless of what MoveOn.org and leading national blogs say?)
I’m all ears.