The circumstances are tougher than they may appear

Matt Stoller caused a bit of a stir over the weekend with a provocative post about Senate Dems and opposition to the war in Iraq. After the latest GOP obstructionism blocked consideration of an anti-escalation resolution on Saturday, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid allowed the chamber to go into recess, which it had been scheduled to do the day before. Stoller argued that this was a mistake.

Wow, so after the failed Iraq surge vote, Harry Reid lets the Senate vote to go on recess. That’s the key, not the nonsensical anti-surge resolution which was always going to fail. You see, recess is something the Senators want for themselves. This is how they suffer from the Iraq war, by having to give up a weekend. Keeping them in session, and I know it sounds lame, is one of the only ways that a Senate majority leader can create leverage on the opposition to vote. The fact that Reid wasn’t even willing to force the Senate to give up recess time to debate the war is pathetic.

Politics is about priorities, not just theater. Reid just doesn’t think the war in Iraq is an important priority at this moment. It’s not that he thinks the war is a good thing, it’s just that he would prefer to delegate authority to Joe Biden, keep caucus cohesion, and stomp on any real action than try to take ownership of the war and stop it. And so the war rages on. And don’t worry, the Republicans will take some blame, but now, so will we.

This came a day after Stoller identified Harry Reid as being one of several who are “blocking real progress on Iraq.” The Senate Majority Leader, Stoller said, is “giving the impression of action, but not the teeth.”

I’m not entirely unsympathetic to Stoller’s argument. When Dems took control of both chambers of Congress, expectations were raised. Many Dems thought, if not expected, Dems would wrestle control of the policy agenda away from the White House, by virtue of a popular mandate. This included, of course, the direction of the war, and helping bring it to a close.

That said, I’m not nearly as disappointed with congressional Dems as Stoller is. It’s not that I’m satisfied with the status quo, it’s just that I’m accepting of the difficult circumstances congressional Dems find themselves in.

Matthew Yglesias, responding to Stoller’s argument, explained the limits on Reid’s position.

Look, Matt Yglesias leading a caucus of 51 Democratic Senators that includes Joe Lieberman, Bill Nelson, and Tim Johnson couldn’t get much done in these circumstances either. Nor could Matt Stoller. It’s not Reid’s fault that there aren’t 60 votes for a non-binding resolution on Iraq in the Senate (except in the sense that the “nuclear option” fight was mishandled way back in the day, and Democrats should have tried to abolish filibusters altogether). Blame Lieberman. Blame Jeff Sessions. And, again, ask yourself: If Reid’s resolution is so useless, why is the GOP so determined to defeat it? And if it’s so difficult to get 60 votes for this measure, what would the point be in proposing something more far-reaching that would only fail by a larger margin?

The sad reality is that what Matt and I would like to see the Democrats accomplish is, under the circumstances, very difficult to achieve. Progressives should keep the pressure on for action, but we need to understand that objective circumstances matter. This is a slow boring of hard boards kind of situation, and it’s extremely frustrating, but it’s also George W. Bush’s fault, not Reid’s.

I think that’s exactly right. We can have a debate about whether Reid would pursue a sufficiently vigorous progressive agenda with a 60-vote majority and with a Democratic president at the other end of Pennsylvania Avenue, but those aren’t the circumstances we find ourselves in today.

Reid has a 51-seat majority, one of whom is in the hospital, and another of whom is Joe Lieberman. As a practical matter, that means the Senate Majority Leader is trying to exercise power with 49 votes, which is an inherently difficult task.

It’s not that I disagree with Stoller’s goals — I think he and I are very much on the same policy page — I just have lower expectations about what’s possible in this environment, and am far more willing to cut Reid, Durbin, & Co. some slack because of it. How can Senate Dems excel in the face of filibusters they can’t break and vetoes they can’t override?

Yglesias summarized the three things we should expect from the new Dem majorities on the Hill: ending Bush’s domestic agenda, holding extensive oversight hearings, and using the legislative agenda to “frame issues in ways favorable to the Democrats for 2008.” That sounds about right. Of course I’d like more — I suspect all Dems do — but realistically, those are the limits of divided government and a razor-thin Senate majority.

Publius summarized the goals nicely.

The way around these obstacles is to gain bigger majorities. And you do that (as the 2006 election illustrated) by politicizing these issues and offering the public a clear choice about them. Dems don’t need a Pickett’s Charge, they need to position their pawns and view things from a longer-term perspective. The Democrats need to make Iraq a Republican vs. Democrat issue. They need to tie Iraq around the GOP’s neck in the court of public opinion. Make them defend Bush. Make them defend surges. Challenge them on their failures to demand accountability until it became clear in the late months of 2006 that blind support would be a political liability.

Of course, as a general matter, war should be above politics. And I’m certainly not crazy about politicizing issues where human life is at stake. But I’m not advocating politicization simply as a means to put the Dems in power. In fact, it’s exactly the reverse — I want the Dems in power so people will stop getting killed. Political control is not an end, it’s a means to the greater end of bringing this tragedy to a close. And if the two parties disagree on the most important issue of our day, well, that’s what political fights are for. (That’s why I think this view is different from Rove’s 2002 Iraq strategy — Iraq was a means to political power for him, not vice-versa).

We want Reid to do more. I suspect Reid wants Reid to do more. So, let’s get him a bigger majority and a Democratic president, and I suspect we’ll see more.

As a practical matter, that means the Senate Majority Leader is trying to exercise power with 49 votes, which is an inherently difficult task.

This in a chamber where, as another practical matter, you need 60 votes to break a deadlock, at least if your opponent is united and determined.

Imagine what kind of position Reid would be in if the “constitutional option” had gone ahead last year. Then he really would have a shot at passing this stuff.

  • Congress should be in session six days a week until there is a binding Iraq resolution that voices the will of the people.

  • I don’t see a real difference between the non-binding resolution and these votes trying to get the non-binding resolution. As things are, Reid picked up a few votes just by waiting. Each time the Republicans stop the resolution, they’re announcing how important it is to stop it and how weak their own position is. And it makes them look bad. So I don’t see how time isn’t on our side. We’re not trying to stop the war right now, but setting up the political landscape to make that happen sooner. We can push for the impossible, but that doesn’t make it any more possible.

    Secondly, I don’t see how Reid taking a blackmail “we’re not going home until I get my way” is going to help anything. It looks childish and silly. I say we let the Republicans continue to shoot themselves in the foot until the resolution is passed and then keep moving the ball deeper and deeper into their territory. The Republicans were always about calling the Hail Mary on every play and it keeps hurting them. I say we play smart and do what we can, and not pray for miracles to come our way.

    And after all, once the resolution is passed, we’ll be expected to do even more to keep the issue hot. But the longer the Republicans stonewall this, the more we’ll be talking about it.

  • Its about EFFECTIVENESS….you could hold non-binding resolution votes all day and not gain anything and I would argue you lose b/c it puts you in the position of weakness as the majority…

    The oversight hearings are the key…the American people must see the clear distinction between the two parties. The repub party misdeeds of the last 6 years needs to be exposed front and center. That is an area where you can play politics and actually make a difference.

    The arguement that “ohhh this is soo tough” is a crock…you want tough try fighting in Iraq under the conditions ourt soliders are fighting under…something must be done sooner than later…if the DEMS dilly dally for the next two years eeking out little measures that do nothing and cause minimal pain to the Repubs whats to say control of the Congress wont go back to Repubs…

    The main problem some progressives have with DEMS is there is too much equivocation ….take a stand ….be bold……you want to make a difference cut off the funding of this war and propose and run with solutions like the Murtha Plan….will there be short term loss…YES absolutely…but in the end you will be proven right…and force Repubs to actually have to face up to the mess made in Iraq…

    I now ask Sen Reid …..WHAT NOW?????

  • I agree with Stoller more than CB or Yglesias. This is an urgent issue, and Reid should not have allowed the vote to go on recess. That would have forced Republicans to have a non-stop filibuster, and would have made more news than a Saturday charade.

    True, there’s only so much you can do with 48 true Dems. But the idea is to do AS MUCH AS YOU CAN. Take a stand and fucking FIGHT. Americans are ready for a fight, but they need their elected leaders to give them SOMETHING to rally around.

  • i don’t really read stoller regularly, so i have no idea if this is an aberration or a typical response on his part, but it’s really quite childish, the sort of attitude that gave the New Left a bad name 40 years ago.

    we don’t have to accept the constraints that exist in february, 2007 as permanent and binding for all time, but neither does it make sense to think that a magic wand will wave those constraints away.

  • I wonder how many of the repubs supported the filibuster as a tit-for-tat payback for the Saturday session. At surface level, that sounds terribly petty. OTOH, the size of the average Senator’s ego is not to be ignored. If politic is the art of persuasion and you lack the votes for a simple ass kicking, you’re going to be stuck with slowly chipping away. Frustrating? Very. But I don’t see what other realistic options Reid has. In the meantime, Senate repubs remain insistent that their party maintain exclusive ownership of the Iraq debacle. For them, this is a case of battle won at the expense of the larger war.
    I usually agree with Stoller, but I think he’s bought into ‘pundit-think’ on this one. Repubs may have carried the day, but they walked away with exclusive ownership of Iraq. It’s hard to see that as any kind of ‘victory’.

  • I share Stoller’s frustration that Reid didn’t do more, but I also share CB’s and Yglesias’ pragmatism. The Lieberman reality is something Reid and the other real Dems have to deal with every minute of every day. The people applying the “it wouldn’t be in his best interests to change party” logic test ignore the fact that he is delusional, and delusional and reality-based logic don’t mix well.

    I think we should all be delighted that real oversight has returned to the HIll, that the msm is covering the real oversight, and that none of that oversight makes the reThugs look at all good or patriotic or reasonable or virtuous. Lose Lieberman, and that might go away in the Senate.

  • I think Reid should have forced the Republicans to go through with the actual fillibuster, at least for awhile. What better means could there be for
    promoting and publicizing the idea that Republicans refuse to consider ending the war in Iraq and want to dodge responsibility for it.

  • I’m with Yglesias too. Reid, ultimately, can’t force anything through the Senate.

    The debate is really whether he should be rubbing the GOP’s faces in it (with cancelled recesses etc), or if he is doing enough by allowing these blocking moves to be put on the record. I think, given where they started from – a non-binding resolution – Reid has little option but to soft-pedal the issue. A “nuclear option” of some description is simply not credible. Not now, anyway.

    Russ Feingold said several weeks ago that the Dems weren’t aiming high enough. To the extent that bringing troops back from Iraq may have been at all possible, Feingold had a point. If there was a realistic chance of cutting funding, then it might have been a good option.

    But Reid’s choice was to reach out to the Hagels and Warners and see whether they could put on a broad bipartisan front. They haven’t been able to, but that’s not necessarily Reid’s fault, and that’s not necessarily a bad situation for the Democrats.

    It sucks in as far as we are not much nearer ending the involvement in Iraq, but it’s very hard to blame Reid for the hardcore GOP intransigence on this matter.

  • But the idea is to do AS MUCH AS YOU CAN.

    I disagree with this completely. As I suggested above, we don’t need to score a touchdown on every play. What matters is that we’re moving the ball, and every time we put this up for a vote, we’re moving the ball and it hurts the Republicans to have to defend against a nonbinding resolution. If Reid just gives-up, then we’re in trouble. But I strongly advise against trying to push things too hard or attacking our leaders for not pushing hard enough. That’s what kept screwing up the Republicans, and look what happened to them.

    Besides, I really think we’re screwed if we keep insisting that our political leaders are supposed to win every battle. Again, Reid wasn’t backing down. He just didn’t pull an unusual strong-arm tactic. That’s not something to attack him for and I think it’s a huge mistake to set the bar that high. As Republicans have shown, if you push the system too hard, you’ll break it. Let’s not break our majority.

  • Look, folks. Reid isn’t forcing the Republicans to actually conduct a non-stop filibuster for exactly the same reason that the Republicans didn’t force Democrats to engage in them over judicial nominees: it’s very difficult to do, and most likely hands the filibustering side a propaganda victory.

    In order to force continued debate, the Republicans would only need to have one guy on the floor, namely the guy doing the speechifying. The Democrats, on the other hand, would need to have every member on the floor at all times. If they don’t, the lone Republican makes a quorom call, and when it is officially determined that there isn’t one, the Senate is adjourned. End of debate. End of session. Democrats look weak.

    Please try, for the sake of argument if nothing else, working from the assumption that the Democratic Senators are neither stupid or craven. Then see if what they are doing makes sense. If, working from those assumptions, you still can’t come up with anything, then feel free to name call. Give it a shot, though.

  • the regular media is publicizing this as the gop preventing a debate on iraq. this is what the american people are reading in their newspaper this morning – the republicans don’t want it to be discussed. and remember, 34 republicans voted in favor of continuing this war, basically.

    one step at a time. win one battle, move on to the next. re-taking control of this government won’t happen overnight, but i think reid and pelozi have done a hell of a job, and they need our support.

    i wish it could be faster, but it will happen.

  • Lost in the failure to gain cloture on the anti-surge resolution was the fact that 62 percent of those Senators who actually voted, voted for cloture. Since the resolution already had a majority, it’s reasonable to assume that a vote for cloture was a vote for the resolution.

    Sixty-two percent is nothing to sneeze at considering where we were before the election.

  • This whole case neatly illustrates the point that the Dems were idiots to scramble to save the fillibuster in the previous legislative session. They should have let the damn thing die; it’s usually been used to frustrate progressive goals, must obviously by the Jim Crow era Southern Dems. It would have served the Republicans right if the Dems had let them killed it, and then they wouldn’t have it to protect themselves now.

  • Rebecca Allen #16
    I have to disagree. The repubs never sought to eliminate the filibuster. They sought to disallow it for judicial appointments – and judicial appointments only. Had the Dems ‘let it die’, it would still have been quite alive for this situation.

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