Democratic National Committee Chairman Howard Dean hosted a press briefing yesterday to go over some new polling data from 17 swing states, and mentioned that the party would probably not go after John McCain’s age as a campaign issue.
Noting that it’s the kind of personal tactic Republicans would be far more comfortable with, Dean said, “I doubt we will bring it up in the election. He added, “There is somewhat of a higher ethical bar on what we do. We don’t have any Lee Atwaters or Karl Roves on our side.”
That said, the opportunity is certainly there.
Dean added … that in recent DNC-sponsored focus groups designed to gauge voter opinions about McCain, participants regularly brought up the Arizona Senator’s age as a potential point of concern.
Those worries fell into two main categories, Dean said. The first was a “health concern”; the second was the idea that McCain has “very old fashioned” opinions on a variety of topics. As evidence, Dean cited a focus group of conservative women in Charleston, West Virginia. When the Democratic organizers of the group told participants that McCain opposed insurance coverage for birth control pills and supported abstinence-only education in schools, they reportedly said “this guy is out of step with what modern views are.”
A Republican National Committee spokesperson insisted that age is not a concern because voters associate McCain with “judgment, character, vision and leadership.”
That’s debatable, of course, but there’s ample evidence that if they also associate McCain with 72 candles on a birthday cake, it may be a real problem for the Republican campaign.
Following up on an item from a couple of weeks ago, no one seems to want to “go there” when it comes to McCain’s age, but voters seem concerned.
* The latest NBC/WSJ poll (pdf) asked respondents if they think Americans are prepared to elect an otherwise qualified candidate, who happens to be have certain characteristics. 72% of Americans, for example, said the country is prepared to elect an African-American president, and 71% said we’re also ready for a woman president. But when asked about a candidate over the age of 70, the number dropped to 61%.
* Also last month, a WaPo/ABC poll found that more than one in four voters (27%) said McCain’s age would make them “less enthusiastic” to support him.
* A CBS/NYT poll from February asked Americans what the best age is for a president. A majority (55%) preferred someone in their 50s, while a president in his or her 40s was second (with 26%). How many preferred someone in their 70s? Less than one percent.
* Way back in February 2007, a WaPo/ABC poll asked Americans: “I’m going to read a few attributes that might be found in a candidate for president. Please tell me if each would make you more likely to vote for that candidate for president, or less likely to vote for that candidate, or if it wouldn’t matter.” No specific candidate names were mentioned. When it came to attributes like race, gender, religion, and marital status, poll respondents generally didn’t care at all. When the poll mentioned a 72-year-old candidate, 58% said they would be “less likely” to vote for such a candidate — more than the totals for a woman, African American, and/or Mormon combined.
* Around the same time, a USAT/Gallup showed that 42% of voters said they wouldn’t support an otherwise qualified 72-year-old candidate.
Dean went out of his way yesterday to suggest Dems aren’t going to exploit the age issue, and I suspect he’s right. Unless the general-election race got very ugly, I’d be surprised if the DNC and/or the Democratic nominee emphasized McCain’s personal weakness.
That said, the media may not be talking about the issue, but voters care, and it may be this year’s sleeper issue.