Next week, the White House will unveil the progress report on Iraq, ostensibly written by Gen. David Petraeus and Ambassador Ryan Crocker (but really written by the president’s team), which will no doubt make quite a splash. But in the meantime, we’re seeing the release of several key reports, all of which offer a credible, detailed look at conditions in Iraq.
But how many reports are there? And how can we keep track of which is which? Here’s a rundown from the last week or so.
* The General Accounting Office measured the success of 18 agreed-upon Iraqi benchmarks, created by the Bush administration earlier this year as a way of determining progress with the “surge” policy. The GAO found (.pdf) that Iraq had only completed three of the 18, and concluded there is little hope for the future.
* The Independent Commission on the Security Forces of Iraq, a 20-member commission led by retired Marine Gen. James Jones, measured the quality of the Iraqi Security Forces. The results were discouraging.
Iraq’s army, despite measurable progress, will be unable to take over internal security from U.S. forces in the next 12 to 18 months and “cannot yet meaningfully contribute to denying terrorists safe haven,” according to a report on the Iraqi security forces published today.
The report, prepared by a commission of retired senior U.S. military officers, describes the 25,000-member Iraqi national police force and the Interior Ministry, which controls it, as riddled with sectarianism and corruption. The ministry, it says, is “dysfunctional” and is “a ministry in name only.” The commission recommended that the national police force be disbanded.
* The Congressional Research Service, Congress’ non-partisan research and analysis arm, believes Iraq’s fragile democracy is “collapsing.”
The boycott of the government by certain Shiite and Kurdish political blocs has left Iraq’s leadership hanging by a thread, according to a report by the Congressional Research Service.
The report by CRS, Congress’ research and analysis arm, was completed Aug. 15 for the House and Senate.
“My assessment is that because of the number and breadth of parties boycotting the cabinet, the Iraqi government is in essential collapse,” Kenneth Katzman, the author of the report, said. “That argues against any real prospects for political reconciliation.”
Without a political infrastructure in Iraq, any military progress would be short-lived, he added.
* The U.S. Embassy in Iraq is poised to release a report on the Maliki government, which U.S. officials believe is corrupt to the core.
Maliki’s government is “not capable of even rudimentary enforcement of anticorruption laws,” the report says, and, perhaps worse, the report notes that Maliki’s office has impeded investigations of fraud and crime within the government.
The draft–over 70 pages long–was obtained by The Nation, and it reviews the work (or attempted work) of the Commission on Public Integrity (CPI), an independent Iraqi institution, and other anticorruption agencies within the Iraqi government. Labeled “SENSITIVE BUT UNCLASSIFIED/Not for distribution to personnel outside of the US Embassy in Baghdad,” the study details a situation in which there is little, if any, prosecution of government theft and sleaze. Moreover, it concludes that corruption is “the norm in many ministries.”
Four independent reports, four more pieces of evidence that the status quo isn’t working.