Thursday’s campaign round-up

Today’s installment of campaign-related news items that wouldn’t generate a post of their own, but may be of interest to political observers:

* Following up on the latest Hillary Clinton radio ad, which is clearly misleading about the “party of ideas” flap, the Obama campaign is hitting back, turning Clinton’s attacks into a character issue with a radio spot of their own. The ad tells the audience it was “Hillary Clinton, in an interview with Tom Brokaw, who quote ‘paid tribute’ to Ronald Reagan’s economic and foreign policy. She championed NAFTA – even though it has cost South Carolina thousands of jobs. And worst of all, it was Hillary Clinton who voted for George Bush’s war in Iraq. Hillary Clinton. She’ll say anything, and change nothing. It’s time to turn the page.”

* If you blinked you missed it, but Louisiana apparently held its Republican caucuses last night. The “winner” was “an uncommitted slate running under the title of ‘Pro-Life, Pro-Family,’ followed by John McCain, Ron Paul and Mitt Romney. In fact, the organizers of that “Pro-Life, Pro-Family” slate were almost all Thompson supporters who decided to take that name a few weeks ago, when it became a distinct possibility that he would drop out before the caucuses — which he did that very afternoon.”

* The exodus continues: “Republican Rep. Jim Walsh of New York is expected to announce his retirement soon, according to a GOP aide familiar with the decision, giving Democrats another pick-up opportunity following a wave of Republican retirements this cycle. The veteran appropriator had a tough reelection fight in 2006 and was expected to face another challenge in the fall. It marks another surprise retirement for the GOP.” Dems are already eyeing the district as a strong pick-up opportunity.

* The ugliness associated with the Dems’ Nevada caucuses continues. Yesterday, the Obama campaign filed a formal complaint over some of the alleged irregularities. “On the day of the Caucus, we received by phone reports of misconduct, violations of the rules and irregularities, in the hundreds. Since that time, well over a thousand more accounts have been sent to us,” the complaint said.

* Duncan Hunter endorsed Mike Huckabee’s White House bid yesterday, though Hunter probably lacked the support necessary to help make this matter.

* McCain’s campaign has a new ad out, referring to himself as the Dems’ “worst nightmare.” “Democrat [sic] Senators Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama and John Edwards said John McCain’s name 15 times during the course of their hour and a half-long debate this week,” McCain spokeswoman Jill Hazelbaker said in statement. “Why? They fear John McCain most because he’s the one candidate who can rally the conservative Reagan Coalition while appealing to independent voters to win in November.”

* MSNBC will host a debate tonight in Boca Raton, Fla., for the Republican presidential candidates. I’ve haven’t decided whether to watch or not.

* Short on funds, McCain and Giuliani left Florida yesterday in order to raise money in New York. Romney, independently wealthy, stayed in the Sunshine State.

* And the AP notes that Feb. 5 will be huge, but there aren’t enough delegates at stake to officially end the parties’ nominating contests. That’s true, but if one candidate dominates, the writing will be on the wall.

Why are they going to New York? Isn’t there any money in Florida for McCain and Rudy? All their supporters in Florida want money to vote for them????

  • “Say anything. Change nothing.” Nice slogan! If Obama keeps trotting this out, and puts it in ads running in the Feb 5 states, he could catch up to Hillary. May it happen!

  • “She’ll say anything, and change nothing. It’s time to turn the page.”

    Amen. If the career of the Clintons indicates anything, it’s this. At best you get minor tactical gains that the Republicans then wipe away–and we can’t afford that now.

  • I agree with Caped and dajafi about Obama’s slogan. My feeling is that if you like the 2006 Demcongs, you’ll love a Clinton administration. Time to move on.

  • Even better, if Obama were to win the nomination, “say anything, change nothing” would be equally potent against Romney, Giuliani, or McCain in the fall.

  • “It’s time to turn the page.”

    It’s the perfect slogan. Obama can simply drop the “she’ll” and replace it with “he’ll”—and he’s got the exact same meassage to go after the Republikanner Beast with in the general election. Everyone else can apply it as well—it’s a down-ticket message that Dems can use against the entire GOP machine.

    Simple. Direct. To the point.

    It’s perfect….

  • The problem Obama has is that in spite of the catchy slogan, he is still playing defense, and I expect Clinton will keep him there as long as she can. It’s a calculated risk on his part to accuse her of “saying anything” given that there are already videos of him doing the exact same thing.

    Yeah, I think we’ll get change with Clinton and Obama: he’ll give us 4 quarters for a dollar and she’ll give us 3 quarters, a dime, 2 nickels and 5 pennies. Some people will be thrilled, and think they have something they didn’t have before – the rest of us will know better.

    With Edwards, I think we get “changes.” We get a seat at the table, the seat at the table gives us a voice, and our voice give us the power to effect changes.

  • Does Obama work for the RNC now? First, he gave them lots of quotes to use to try to defeat Clinton or Edward’s universal healthcare plan. Now, he has given them their main line of attack for the fall (if Hillary wins the nomination), “Even Barack Obama believes that Hillary will say anything and change nothing.”

  • That Obama ad resonates with me, given that the war and those responsible for starting it are my primary concern. It certainly flies in the face of the perception that Obama will capitulate in the face of disagreement and that he’s required to be ‘nice’ as opposed to ‘fighting.’

    If he takes it a step further and ties the war to the failing economy, he’ll be hitting her on her strong suit.

  • That is an excellent slogan for the Obama campaign….

    I’ve been wondering over the last couple of days – with the economy becoming such a force in the campaign, worries about massive write downs, and tales of woe brought on by shady banking/lending/securitization schemes – why wouldn’t Obama have a speech where he talked about the economy and explained that some of the mess were in comes from the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act of 1999? It sure seems like that would be a good way to not only combine policy with a high road attack on the Clinton campaign. Sure, most Americans don’t know what the Glass-Steagall Act was or why it was written and how the G-L-B Act eviscerated it, but in Obama’s historical explanation, it would be easy to leave Bill Clinton holding the bag. And the Clinton’s would have no comeback for it; in fact, if HRC is going to run on her White House experience, she’d have a hand on the bag too.

  • Anne@9
    The “Say Anything” problem worked against Edwards too.
    I liked what he said, but I didn’t believe him.
    Where was this guy in 2004?
    Is it all Trippi’s wishful thinking?

  • * MSNBC will host a debate tonight in Boca Raton, Fla., for the Republican presidential candidates. I’ve haven’t decided whether to watch or not.
    Do yourself a favor and take the night off. Nobody should have to watch that crap, and we won’t miss the update tomorrow because we shouldn’t even have to hear about that crap. get some rest.

  • Does Obama work for the RNC now? -Dennis_D

    Oh, give me a break and get real. Is he not allowed to campaign? You don’t think the GOP could say even Bill Clinton thinks Obama is fairy tale or myriad other things come this fall?

    Of course the GOP will use whatever tensions they can against whomever the Democratic Candidate is.

  • “worst of all, it was Hillary Clinton who voted for George Bush’s war in Iraq.”

    That’s the blow Hillary has been unable to deflect, and I hope he keeps it up. Anyone who gave Bush the blank check needs to be pummeled, just to set an example. No more blank checks for Republicans.

  • Anyone who gave Bush the blank check needs to be pummeled, just to set an example. -RacerX

    Well, to be fair, Obama has supported funding the war consistently, but I think the real sin is in breaking it, not attempting to fix it.

    Granted, I think it is a lost cause. Iraq is irrevocably broken and once we realize this and withdrawal there will be three unstable countries to contend with instead of one.

  • Does Obama work for the RNC now? … Now, he has given them their main line of attack for the fall (if Hillary wins the nomination) …

    Does Hillary work for the RNC?

    She’s only the fourth-best candidate in a four-person Democratic candidacy, and #3 is, admittedly, a completely unelectable eccentric with some great progressive ideas. She’s expending a lot of time, energy and capital tearing down a more viable, more visionary candidate.

    If she cared about getting an effective president elected, she’d step out of the way gracefully and let Obama and Edwards duel for the nomination.

    (It’s not as if Republicans can’t come up with this kind of sloganeering on their own, anyway — she’s their Dream Opponent. )

  • I am voting for Ron Paul as I think it is absolutely laughable that you all think that Hillary, Obama, Guiliani, McCain, Romney etc. will change ANYTHING hardly except ruin heathcare by asking the government to offer it for free to everyone (and you think its bad now) and how McCain was taking pictures with Ted Kennedy supporting amnesty for illegals.. heck I know you all are silly. I am voting for the man who will END welfare for illegals, propose an amendment to ban birthright citizenship, abolish the Dept of Education, and reverse this recession by elimating the Federal Reserve central bank and returning to sound montetary policies.

    AND he will actually USE his veto pen.. and help get rid of the PATRIOT Act.. EVERYONE ELSE VOTED FOR THE PATRIOT ACT!! You bunch of Sheeple wake up!! Bring the troops home too.. vote Ron Paul!

  • “Say anything. Change nothing”.

    That’s the position of both of them on FISA and retrospective telco immunity , at least until they get off the damn campaign merry-go round, fly back to DC and do their sworn job of protecting the Constitution from domestic enemies…..

  • Jason V, remember that quaint article of vellum called the Constitution? When people ask the government for anything we are asking it of ourselves. Oddly enough according to that scrap of paper, we the people are the government. Says it right there, in several different ways. I know your candidate is actually running as a proponant of it, so ya know, familiarize yourself with it. No one on this board has ever suggested Romney, McCain or Guilliani will change ANYTHING. We all agree that with each of them it will be either more of the same, or more of the same on meth. No arguments from us here about that. Our only disagreements are on which of the Dems will bring forth the most and best change.

    And in re, “end birthright citizenship”… ya know, my family has been a part of the US for almost 400 years, fought in every war except for Grenada, Panama and Gulf War 1 so ya know, maybe we should start quantifying citizenship in relationship to how many centuries a family has been here and how much blood has been shed for the cause. Would that work for you Paulites better? Sheesh one of the reasons France is having so many problems with their disaffected Muslim youth is the kids, even though born in France are not considered citizens. They have exactly zero reasons to care about the country, because the country doesn’t care about them. Why JasonV, why do you hate the US so much, and why do you want us to be more like France??? OK end snark.

  • The Obama complaint in Nevada is mostly focused on Clinton campaign training manuals instructing precinct captains that the doors “should close” at 11:30 instead of noon as the rules called for. A memo given to the captains reminds them that “temporary chairs are doing this for the first time,” and “it’s not illegal unless they tell you so.” One voter complains that they had police were called to cut locks while Clinton people were letting others in the back door.

    The memo also tells captains to “make sure you have enough supplies for outside viability. BE CREATIVE”. Voters complained that Clinton people took all the supplies, leaving Obama and Edwards supporters without ballots.

    To be sure, much of this sounds like a new process with poorly trained chairmen, but it also looks like an exceptional amount of deference was given to the Clinton campaign. It certainly does not help when the Nevada Dem Party issues a statement that suggests that even after the caucuses, the delegates will be free to vote however they want in April.

    The complaint is well worth reading, and only six pages long.

    http://www.time-blog.com/swampland/NV001.PDF

  • Hillary Clinton would be so much easier to support if she divorced Bill and campaigned on her own.

    Now Ed, in Sarkozy’s case we didn’t know until after the election, so there is still a chance. . .

    Does Obama work for the RNC, does Hillary work for the RNC – no, but they are both doing some of the RNCs work. Which is why I hope Feb 5 clears this up quickly, one way or the other.

    But at least Bill said yesterday he’d be happy to support Obama and do all he could to get him elected if he is the nominee. It’d be nice if Obama’s team would return the favor.

  • re 20. I’m so happy you found a candidate you can vote for, but the truth is RP will NOT do ANY of the things you list because he will NOT be elected president. (Didn’t mean to shout but your shift key set my shift key all atwitter).

    As for Obama’s little slogan, it’s rather clever. In beginning with “She’ll say anything” he ties into an notion that’s already out there, so he’s immediately resonating with a lot of people. Following that with “…and change nothing” contrasts him with her and gets him back on message. But using “it’s time to turn the page” as the closer may be the most useful in that it ties her to the past and provides him with a phrase he can use over and over in different contexts to position himself as looking forward.

    Of course, he still has to spell out what kind of change he envisions and convince us he’s capable of pulling it off. And that will take more than a slogan.

  • * Short on funds, McCain and Giuliani left Florida yesterday in order to raise money in New York. Romney, independently wealthy, stayed in the Sunshine State.

    Well, come on, they are wealthy, just not as super-wealthy as Romney.

    Wow, Louisiana Republicans are reeeeeeeeeeeallllyyy Republican…

  • Duncan Hunter endorsed Mike Huckabee’s White House bid yesterday

    We’ll that ought to get Huck all of 2 votes. Assuming Duncan’s son doesn’t flake off.

  • McCain married some kind of a beer-fortune heiress around 20 or 30 years his junior, and he was already a little spoiled rich boy to begin with, and Giuliani has a lot of money (on this blog today even it’s noted he makes $100,000 a pop for giving one-session motivational seminars).

  • Danp,

    Re: voter tampering in Nevada.

    That’s some scary stuff. It looks like it was far worse than just trying to have the ‘at large’ sites shut down. For those of you who want to know what crossing into Rovian territory looks like, read the PDF Danp linked.

    The Clinton response:

    The Obama campaign is clearly frustrated by its loss in Nevada and is grasping at straws. -Phil Singer

    And:

    http://www.time-blog.com/swampland/NV%20State%20Letter%20%282%29%201%2023%2008.pdf

    Funny, Lyn Utrecht’s response seems to have just swapped the words Clinton and Obama: sort of a ‘nuh uh, they did it.’

    My favorite part:

    Senator Clinton and the Committee are wholly committed to ensuring that every eligible voter has his or her vote cast and counted.

    Especially when the lawsuit they supported preventing voter suppression gets thrown out.

    The complaint on behalf of the Obama campaign cites documentation from the Clinton campaign indicating the doors were to be closed at 11:30 AM, not 12:00 PM as dictated by the Party. Additionally, they support their claims with eyewitness accounts. On the whole, I find it more credible than the response.

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