Tuesday’s political round-up

Today’s installment of campaign-related news items that wouldn’t generate a post of their own, but may be of interest to political observers:

* Sen. [tag]George Allen[/tag]’s (R-Va.) “macaca” problems continue. In a new SurveyUSA poll done for WUSA in Washington, Allen’s lead over challenger [tag]James Webb[/tag] has dropped from 19 points to three, and the race now stands at 48% to 45%.”Allen has lost support across all demographic groups, but in particular, among younger voters, he has gone from Plus 23 to Minus 17, a swing of 40 points. In Southeastern VA, Allen has gone from a 2:1 lead to a tie, a 31-point swing.”

* Missouri’s back-and-forth Senate race has shifted back towards the incumbent in a new Rasmussen poll. While last month showed State Auditor [tag]Claire McCaskill[/tag] (D) taking a small, three-point lead over Sen. [tag]Jim Talent[/tag] (R), the results released this morning show Talent coming back with an even smaller lead, 46% to 44%. Of the 10 Rasmussen polls conducted in Missouri this cycle, nine have shown Talent and McCaskill within three points of each other.

* In New York, the troubled Senate campaign of Kathleen Troia “KT” [tag]McFarland[/tag] (R) appears to be coming to an end. Yesterday, McFarland cancelled a series of campaign events after her 16-year-old daughter was arrested for shoplifting, and today, she released a statement saying she is “suspending my campaign activities until further notice.”

* Arkansas Attorney General [tag]Mike Beebe[/tag] (D) is still ahead in his state’s gubernatorial race, but his margin shrunk over the last month. A new Rasmussen poll shows Beebe leading former Rep. [tag]Asa Hutchinson[/tag] (R), 45% to 41%. In July, Beebe led, 47% to 40%.

* And in Oregon, Gov. [tag]Ted Kulongoski[/tag] (D) was, not too long ago, considered one of the most vulnerable Dem incumbents in the country, but of late, he seems to have found his footing. A new Rasmussen poll shows Kulongoski leading Republican challenger [tag]Ron Saxton[/tag] by 14 points, 49% to 35%. The incumbent is still just below the 50% threshold, which often spells trouble, but Kulongoski’s lead is growing; he led Saxton by 10 points a month ago.

Of the 10 Rasmussen polls conducted in Missouri this cycle, nine have shown Talent and McCaskill within three points of each other.

Missouri will purge more than 200,000 people from the voter rolls thanks to a newly enacted voter ID law. Most of those are poor, elderly and minority voters. With the race this close, it doesn’t look good for Claire McCaskill.

  • It seems that Senator Allen has stepped into some really deep macaca on this one—and the smell just isn’t going away. This just could be part of the “3rd Battle of Bull Run,” in which Herr Bush’s Washington becomes completely indefensible, and a Democrat from Virginia leads the charge….

  • Re MO & VA: how will Diebold and ES&S affect the vote? Not happy to read prm’s comment about MO.

    Re Ted Kulongoski: I’m happy to read that he has opened his lead against Ron Saxton. There are several other minor-party candidates that will attract some of the vote, but the main competitor for Kulongoski and Saxton, Independent (former R) Ben Westlund, decided to call it quits. Westlund was truly at odds with his former party – in favor of a state sales tax (we have none currently), and for same sex unions, to name two. Ben is my state senator and is mid-term in that capacity. Ultimately his withdrawal from the gubenatorial race will benefit Kulongoski IMO, and that is perhaps the reason for Ted’s bump up in the polls.

  • #2
    Paging James Webb. Paging James Webb. Please come to your campaign and win this thing.
    Comment by Lance — 8/22/2006 @ 12:24 pm

    I’m beginning to think that Webb just isn’t there. He seems to be happy to leave his campaign in the hands of Tim Kaine and Macaca Allen. Have you seen his website? His so-called “blog”? The best that can be said about the website is that it’s being updated regularly. When I compare it to the –very vibrant and full of participation — Lamont website, I wanna cry.

    Our town will have a Community Festival this coming weekend and, while Webb himself won’t be there, he’s supposed to have a booth in place (according to the Va Dem Com website). I’ve given the event a miss for the past few years (hot, humid, hard to find a parking space, nothing much to see), but I’ll be there this time. Asking (moderately irate) questions

  • Comments are closed.