I think it was a couple of weeks ago when McCain aide Mark McKinnon, who said he’d step aside if Obama won the Democratic nomination, suggested the two presidential candidates are respectful and high-minded enough that they could travel across the country, holding un-moderated debates. As I understood it, McKinnon wasn’t making a serious proposal, so much as he was making a point about why he likes Obama and McCain.
Nevertheless, it seems like the debate idea is being bandied about quite a bit lately.
Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama said he’d be willing to campaign jointly with Senator John McCain, the presumptive Republican nominee, and debate him in town-hall style formats.
“I think that’s a great idea,” Obama, 46, told reporters in Bend, Oregon, today as he campaigned ahead of the state’s May 20 primary. “Obviously we would have to think through the logistics on that, but to the extent that should I, should I be the nominee, if I have the opportunity to debate substantive issues before the voters with John McCain, that’s something that I am going to welcome.”
Obama, an Illinois senator, was responding to a question citing reports that McCain’s advisers have suggested the two should campaign together this summer, debating at town hall meetings without a moderator.
The NYT had an item about this over the weekend, as well.
At first blush, this sounds like fun, doesn’t it? When one candidate visits an area and hosts a town-hall meeting, voters get to hear one side of the debate. If both candidates are there together, voters would conceivably be in a position to learn a lot more.
But even putting aside potential logistical issues, there are some real downsides to the idea, especially as far as the Obama campaign is concerned.
Noam Scheiber noted yesterday:
McCain has several big disadvantages vis-a-vis Obama. He faces a massive enthusiasm gap and will have trouble attracting large crowds. He’s in all likelihood going to be massively outraised and outspent, making it hard to get his message out. And, possibly as a result of the previous problem, he’ll be cast as a right-winger determined to continue George Bush’s policies.
The unmoderated debates would help him overcome all three problems. They’ll draw big crowds and generate lots of buzz. They’ll help him get his message out for free. And, just by virtue of appearing frequently at Obama’s side and having a civil debate, they’ll make him look much more moderate than the Obama campaign wants him to look.
I don’t see the upside for Obama.
I found all of this pretty compelling. In fact, I’d also add that McCain is almost certainly a better debater than Obama, so while both candidates tend to shine in town-hall settings, it’s far from obvious that Obama would look better than his rival.
In the first place it flatters Obama’s already well-developed sense of himself as a statesman cut from a higher grade of cloth than that worn by other politicians these days. It appeals to his idea of “elevating” politics too. Thirdly, and relatedly, it’s easy to suspect that Obama could be weary of having to play the “gotcha” game favoured by the likes of Tim Russert, Chris Matthews and the rest of the blowhards who moderate “traditional” debates and, consequently, that he’d be open to anything that stymied their desire to referee the contest.
All true. And this no doubt helps explain why the McCain campaign started baiting Obama with the idea to begin with.
To be sure, these events wouldn’t necessarily be bad for Obama. If the discussions center on policy, Obama would no doubt welcome the opportunity to highlight the fact that on the issues people care about most, Obama is part of the mainstream and McCain isn’t. For that matter, McCain tends to come off great in town-hall meetings, but largely because no one’s there to point out how wrong he is. If he’s sharing a stage with Obama, McCain may enjoy himself far less.
But all things being equal, I feel like Obama would have more to lose.