Literally within hours of being sworn in as a Supreme Court justice, Samuel Alito sat alongside his new colleagues at the State of the Union. His impact as on the high court itself may not be quite that quick, but we may not have to wait too long before Alito makes a lasting impression.
Justice Samuel A. Alito Jr. will have only one vote, of course, but it may be the decisive one in several of the marquee cases that will dominate the balance of the Supreme Court’s term.
By the end of the term in early summer, legal analysts said, the nation will most likely have a good sense of whether Justice Alito will affirm or veer away from the direction set by his predecessor, Justice Sandra Day O’Connor, in cases involving the treatment of terror suspects and campaign finance.
And what’s likely to be the big issue? What else? Abortion rights.
The court will soon decide, for instance, whether to hear a case concerning the constitutionality of the federal Partial-Birth Abortion Act of 2003, which would outlaw an abortion procedure. The law is quite similar to a Nebraska law struck down in 2000 by a 5-to-4 vote in Stenberg v. Carhart, with Justice O’Connor in the majority. Three federal appeals courts, two of them ruling on Tuesday, have held the federal law unconstitutional.
Just yesterday, coincidentally, the 9th Circuit and 2nd Circuit Court of Appeals both ruled against the federal ban on late-term abortions, following a similar ruling from the 8th Circuit. It only takes four justices to agree to hear a case on appeal, and Alito, Roberts, Scalia, and Thomas make four.
Granted, as the NYT noted, there is “no case on the horizon…that attacks the core holding of Roe v. Wade,” but it’s only a matter of time.