Wednesday’s Mini-Report

Today’s edition of quick hits.

* Bloodshed in Baghdad: “Six American soldiers were killed and four wounded in a house rigged with explosives during an operation in Baqouba, the U.S. military told NBC News on Wednesday. The soldiers were clearing the house when a huge blast killed the six — the largest single loss of life for U.S. troops in the Iraq war so far this year. It’s not clear whether the house was booby-trapped or the explosives were remotely detonated.”

* This is looking like it’s shaping up as another Supreme Court disaster: “The Supreme Court appeared reluctant Wednesday to strike down the nation’s strictest requirement that voters show photo identification before being allowed to cast a ballot…. ‘You want us to invalidate the statute because of minimal inconvenience?’ Justice Anthony Kennedy said near the end of an hour-long argument. Kennedy, often a key vote, appeared more willing than some to consider changes to the law.”

* Some pollsters are scrambling to explain how and why they got the Dems’ New Hampshire primary so wrong: “Amidst all the hand-wringing by pollsters over how they managed to get New Hampshire so amazingly wrong, John Zogby has put out a press release containing an interesting piece of information: The last one-day sample of his three-day tracking poll showed Hillary closing the gap in a big way — but the sample was too small to be published on its own.”

* Good point: “They did it again! Just as in Iowa, yesterday’s media-sponsored Election Day poll failed to ask Democrats in New Hampshire if they were evangelical. Voters from both parties were asked about their church attendance and if they were Protestant, Catholic, Mormon, Other Christian, Jewish, Muslim, Something else, or None. But only Republicans were asked if they were born-again or evangelical Christian…. Asking only Republicans about their religion shows that the media is still stuck on the outdated and false notion that evangelical Christians are the GOP’s political property. No party can own any faith. Evangelicals have broadened their agenda to include care for the planet, the poor and the stranger, and as a result are increasingly independent politically. Exit polls need to abandon the hidebound frames of the culture war — evangelicals already have.”

* Remember the Mark Foley scandal? “Florida law enforcement officials investigating former Republican Rep. Mark Foley, whose e-mails and instant messages to teenage former congressional pages shocked the country, are hoping Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi will grant them access to Foley’s House computers…. A spokesman for Pelosi told ABC News her office ‘is in the process of preparing a response to Commissioner Bailey’s request,’ after receiving the letter only last week due to security precautions taken with her mail.”

* The Hill: “Sen. Mary Landrieu (D-La.), a top target for national Republicans in November, is battling with a government watchdog group that is alleging the senator may have violated federal bribery laws by earmarking funds to a campaign contributor…. The senator’s office released a number of documents that backed the propriety of the earmark and also showed that it had been sought by D.C. public schools. The office also released documents showing that the program had been well-regarded by New Orleans public schools and former Sen. Mike DeWine (R-Ohio), who wanted Ohio schools to buy the program in 2002.”

* Sometimes, it takes corruption to know corruption: “According to three well-placed Republican sources, former Rep. Richard Pombo (R-Calif.) — who lost his seat amid ethics allegations — has called on longtime friend Doolittle to not seek reelection in the interest of keeping the district a GOP stronghold. In the last Congress, Pombo was a panel chairman while Doolittle was a member of GOP leadership. Pombo could not be reached for comment.”

* It was widely expected, but the 60,000-member Culinary Workers Union, an important force in Nevada, formally endorsed Barack Obama today.

* I’ll admit I keep an eye on the political futures markets, more out of curiosity than anything else. The reality is, they’re poorly named: “I’ve been watching the action in one of the political futures markets this evening, Intrade. And the action in this prediction market has reinforced my opinion that these are less futures markets than immediate-past markets.”

* I sometimes think Chris Matthews is in a competition with himself to appear truly insane on matters relating to Hillary Clinton: “I think the Hillary appeal has always been about the mix of toughness and sympathy. Let’s not forget, and I’ll be brutal, the reason she’s a US Senator, the reason she’s a candidate for President, the reason she may be a front runner, is that her husband messed around….. That’s how she got to be a Senator from New York. We keep forgetting it. She didn’t win it on her merit, she won because everybody felt, ‘My God, this woman stood up under humiliation,’ right? That’s what happened.” How this clown remains on the air is a mystery to me.

* And finally, the Larry Craig sex scandal is the gift that keeps on giving: “Besides attacking the law he was prosecuted under, Craig’s legal team argues that the hand signal allegedly used to communicate a desire to engage in sexual conduct would be constitutionally protected speech.”

Anything to add? Consider this an end-of-the-day open thread.

“Craig’s legal team argues that the hand signal allegedly used to communicate a desire to engage in sexual conduct would be constitutionally protected speech.”

On a day I thought already totally made in every possible way, you’ve found another to make it better.

Thanks CB.

  • Ah the sweet smell of corruption. Too bad a Democrat is in the mix. MSM will focus exclusively on her.

  • Chris Mathews is such a jerk. The only reason Hillary is in her position of influence as a Senator and as a potential president is because her husband messed around? What a sexist bastard he is! I am not necessarily a Hillary Clinton fan, but before anyone really knew who her husband was, she was one of the 100 top lawyers in the United States. The woman is brilliant and Mathews is not. Mathews might try reading about her background before he shoots from his hip.

  • On the photo ID, shouldn’t the SCOTUS apply equal protection concepts? They were able to apply that to the inconvenience of actually counting all the votes in Bush vs. Gore.

  • I assume Larry I-am-not-gay Craig is correct in that the hand jester I trace and return with all GOP fund-raising letters is also protected speech. So there.

  • This from an article by a Stanford professor, appearing on the ABC News web site…

    Without a doubt, a big source of the discrepancy between the pre-election surveys and the election outcome in New Hampshire is the order of candidates’ names on the ballot and in the surveys.

    Our analysis of all recent primaries in New Hampshire showed that there was always a big primacy effect — big-name, big-vote-getting candidates got 3 percent or more votes more when listed first on the ballot than when listed last.

    Until this year, New Hampshire rotated candidate name order from precinct to precinct, which allowed us to do that analysis.

    This year, the secretary of state changed the procedure so the names were alphabetical starting with a randomly selected letter, in all precincts.

    The randomly selected letter this year was Z.

    As a result, Joe Biden was first on every ballot, Hillary Clinton was near the top of the list (and the first serious contender listed) and Barack Obama was close to last of the 21 candidates listed.

    I don’t know about 3 percent, but I should think this could have contributed to some of the difference. Anyone know why NH changed? Cost?

  • Aaargh, not that stupid Slate article about Intrade. I don’t see how anyone who read the article could take it seriously, let alone repost it as if it were somehow insightful. It’s not.

    To sum it up: people trading on the likelihood that Clinton or Obama will win the Democratic nomination made trades that reflecting the results of the NH primary. Therefore, these markets don’t predict the future, they reflect the recent past.

    Is that the most idiotic thing you’ve ever heard, or what? Of course the odds of Clinton winning the nomination changed with the new information from the NH primary. The market took that into account and adjusted the perceived odds. That’s what markets do. In Las Vegas, you can bet on the likelihood of a particular team winning the Super Bowl, starting well before the season starts. As the season goes on, the odds float based on the performance of each time and where the money’s going. That is the entire essence of a market driven bet as opposed to betting on whether the roulette wheel will come up on 13 in the next revolution.

    Taking current events into account when wagering on future events does not mean that you are suddenly wagering on the past. That is as asinine of a thing as I’ve ever heard. I can’t believe Slate published it; I really can’t believe CB posted it as if it were legitimate.

  • Using Matthews’ little theory that Hillary was elected to the Senate purely out of pity for Bill’s dalliances, I suppose we should start measuring the curtains in Mrs. David Vitter’s and Mrs. Larry Craig’s new Senate offices and we’ll have to build a new pity wing for all the Senate seats of the former Mrs. McCains and Giulianis. Idiot.

  • #7. WTF ?? i have an extremely hard time believing people don’t know who they are coting for until they see the ballot. And we wonder how Bush get re-elected.

  • Hillary was a media icon, had a lot of support + focus before the scandal ever happened- everyone remembers that.

    She distinguished herself for being a modern, professionally distinguished wife/partner to Bill, including in his campaign for President.

    Chris Matthews is a fourth-rate pundit if he does not remember this. Being -30, I was more focused on Nintendo than I was on politics when all this stuff happened.

  • Bill Richardson is reportedly out of the race. That’s about 5% of Dem primary voters now put back in play. With all the talk of him looking to fill the Veep job, an endorsement of another candidate would appear unlikely unless he’s already been in negotiation with one of the camps.

  • petorado, @14,

    Richardson’s campaign is denying the rumour. In Poland of my childhood and teens, the official denial was considered to be confirmation (otherwise, we didn’t believe it) but, here… I don’t know. US under Shrub seems hell-bent on fusing into the authoritarian, commie, patterns of politics I’m familiar with but I’m not quite sure how far we’ve travelled on that road at this point.

  • Laugh all you want at Larry Craig, but when he’s up for re-election, he’ll be the guy who comes from behind!

  • I happened to hear parts of a speech McCain gave – not sure if it was in NH or somewhere else, but a lot of it was about war, terror, bin Laden and David Petraeus.

    He’s still touting his “speaking truth to power” on the matter of Iraq war policy. He remembers being against Rumsfeld and telling the President that he needed to send more troops, but he has apparently forgotten all those times he applied his deep knowledge of military strategy and told us that victory was right around that corner. Fair or not, maybe it would be interesting to hear someone ask in a campaign event, “Senator, my mom is only 70 – you’re almost 72, right? – and she has a hard time remembering things sometimes. Do you think your age is the reason you don’t remember telling us how well the war was going long before the surge and long before you blessed the WH with your sage advice?”

    He wants us all to know that it’s time the Democrats admitted that the surge worked. See, there he goes again, forgetting that many Democrats have said that they always knew the surge would reduce violence, it was the failure of any political reconciliation that we are concerned with.

    When he’s president, we will win the war!

    He will get Osama, even if he has to follow him to the gates of hell. He didn’t say what would happen at that point, but I guess we’re all supposed to be jacked up about the prospect of an old man shuffling as fast as he can after bin Laden, who would no doubt just be able to keep walking to stay ahead of him. McCain also did not indicate that he even knows where hell is or how to get there, but maybe it would be programmed into his GPS.

    Time’s Person of the Year should not have been (that commie) Putin – it should have been David Petraeus. McCain by-passed, Al Gore and J. K. Rowling, the runners-up for the honor. In McCain’s mind, they are probably jerks and a-holes.

    *******
    I’m sorry – has anyone noticed how much the presidency ages a person? It’s like, once you take the oath, you start aging in dog years – that means that by the time McCain finishes his first term, he’d be the equivalent of 100 years old. Has anyone asked whether the GOP is up for a president limited to one term because he will be too old to take on another?

  • Did you check out the speeches after last night’s primary?

    Here is Barry O’s.

    Here is H’s attempt at elocution.
    Poor thing…
    She keeps glancing down at her cheat sheet…
    Can’t even get 3 lines out without having to read the cues…
    She’s like Bush and McCain in so many ways:
    NOT THE SHARPEST TOOL IN THE SHED BY FAR.
    Blunder. Stumble.
    Flub. Glub. Blub.
    After 8 years of cowboy…do we really need Dale Evans?
    Heck…
    She couldn’t even get the crowd to chant her metier:

    Status Quo!
    Status Quo!
    Status Quo!

    Looky:

    As this thing goes on day by day…
    It really becomes a slam dunk.
    Barack Obama is a National Treasure.
    He is beyond JFK…
    Beyond RFK…
    Beyond the King…

    He is the real thing.
    An absolute original Amiercan genius.

    You want to grow the American brand again?
    You want to see America capture the imagination of a planet again?

    Then do this…
    Pick up one of his books and start reading.
    Preferably Dreams from My Father which he wrote a decade ago…
    You will discover inside that which we most honor in America: A self-made man and a real human being.
    The real deal.

    Those of you who already know all this, I suggest daily visits to Mark Kleiman’s blog:
    http://www.samefacts.com/

    He’s a decent egghead who is doing some of the best Obama analysis around.
    He gets it and gets it good.
    ie: Heart + Mind + Soul.

    One last thing:
    Obama might not win.
    After all… this country chose the stumblebum that calls itself Bush.
    Anything can happen.
    But that doesn’t mean this isn’t true:
    Barry O is the best.
    By miles and miles and miles.

  • Oh please ROTF – claiming she is ineloquent based on her NH victory speech is kind of a cheap shot. First, you dont make Americas Top 100 Lawyers if you have no ability with words. More importantly is the observation my wife made when she watched the speech: given everything we know about the assumption, including in her own camp, that she would lose, she surely spent the afternoon and evening reviewing a totally different speech – she assumed she would be giving a concession. That ink on the victory speech probably wasn’t even dry yet.

    For reasons that no one has ever been able to adequately explain to me, she gets more scrutiny than any other candidate ever has, at a level of detail that few could survive. Any wonder why the women “came home” (particularly older women) in NH? What she goes through is a reminder of the incredibly unlevel playing fields they have seen and often struggled against in their own lives.

  • Damn, I want to see that Mormon futhermucker Doolittle go DOWN! If that moron (now “Elder Statesman”) Jimmy Carter hadn’t conceded the 1980 election at 5:30 p.m. Pacific Time (for which I have never forgiven him and never will – he may be a nice guy but he was the least Democratic president of the 20th Century, particularly here, where all he had to do was shut his @#$%$#@#@!! mouth for three hours), all sorts of Democrats would have voted in Sacramento, and Doolittle – the underdog expected to lose – would have lived up to expectations and lost. Then in 1990 he got a safer district in the Grand Compromise Willie the Schmuck Brown – the most corrupt fucking conscienceless Democratic pig in the history of the California Democratic Party (and I say that having worked for him in the late 1970s till I had to puke before going to work in the morning, which was when I stopped being a professional political worker) – won his race due to Democrats not voting because they were so bummed out.

    Once again: the worst enemies of the Democratic Party are Democratic officeholders.

    God I want to see that self-righteous little prick sitting in a cell next to some overgrown Aryan Brotherhood hitman/rapist, with his thin little nose sticking out between bars!!!! And that Bitch of Belsen “good Mormon wife” he’s married to down in Women’s Prison, she’s proof that those who prey together stay together.

  • It was widely expected, but the 60,000-member Culinary Workers Union, an important force in Nevada, formally endorsed Barack Obama today.

    In case anyone wondered why this happened, go listen to Obama’s speech from Tuesday night. His slogan, repeated often, was “Yes! We can!”

    That translates into Spanish as “Si! Se Puede!” – the organizing slogan of the Los Angeles janitor’s movement the past ten years – the organization of poor, mostly Latino (many undocumented) workers, who have been winning their union struggles despite having their heads cracked by the Los Angeles Pig Department (though you’d never know it, if all your news came from the west coast’s finest litterbox liner, the Chicago Class A Farm Team formerly known as the LA Times)

    When I heard him say “It’s not what I will do as President but what you will do for America…” it sent chills up my spine, just like hearing JFK say “Ask not what your country can do for you….” 46 years ago.

    Personally, I feel sorry for all you Hubert Humphrey supporters, er, I mean Billary supporters. A day late and a dollar short….

  • Comments are closed.