What might have been

As much as it’s appropriate to use today to reflect on the last five years, it’s equally worthwhile to imagine what the last five years could have been like had our leadership had more noble, and less partisan, goals in mind. Newsweek’s Jonathan Alter devoted his Newsweek column to an “alternate” history for the today.

Five years after 9/11, the world is surprisingly peaceful. President Bush’s pragmatic and bipartisan leadership has kept the United States not just strong but unexpectedly popular across the globe. The president himself is poised to enjoy big GOP wins in the midterm elections, a validation of his subtle understanding of the challenges facing the country. A new survey of historians puts him in the first tier of American presidents.

As Bush warned, catching terrorists wasn’t easy, but he kept at it. At the battle of Tora Bora, CIA operatives on the ground cabled Washington that Osama bin Laden was cornered, but they desperately needed troop support. Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld immediately dispatched fresh forces, and the evildoer was killed. While bin Laden was seen as a martyr in a few isolated areas, the bulk of the Arab world had been in sympathy with the United States after 9/11 and shed no tears. After their capture, Khalid Shaikh Mohammed and other 9/11 terrorists were transported to the United States, where they were tried and quickly executed.

Today, Al Qaeda remains a threat but its opportunities for recruitment have been scarce, and the involvement of the entire international community has helped dramatically reduce terrorist attacks worldwide. Because Bush believes diplomacy requires talking to adversaries as well as friends, even Syria and Iraq were forced to help. By staying “humble,” as he promised in 2000, he preserved much of the post-9/11 good feeling abroad, which paid dividends when it came time to pull together a coalition to handle North Korea and Iran.

Reading this, it’s hard to know whether to laugh or cry. Alter’s column is an almost depressing reminder of what could have been — a recitation of historic, momentous opportunities, which the president chose to discard.

Some are born great, some achieve greatness, others have greatness thrust upon them — and others still abandon greatness in order to execute Karl Rove’s vision of a “permanent Republican majority.”

Again, from Alter’s alternate history:

When Karl Rove suggested that the war on terror would make a perfect wedge issue against Democrats in the 2002 midterms, Bush brought him up short. Didn’t Rove understand that bipartisanship is good politics? Lincoln and FDR had both gone bipartisan during wartime, he reminded his aide. So when evidence of torture at the prison camp in Guantánamo Bay surfaced and Rumsfeld was forced to resign, former Democratic senator Sam Nunn got the job. With post-9/11 unity still at least partially intact in 2004, Bush was re-elected in a landslide.

Taking a cue from Lincoln’s impatience with his generals, Bush was merciless about poor performance on homeland security. When the head of the FBI couldn’t fix the bureau’s computers in a year’s time to “connect the dots,” he was out. And Bush had no patience for excuse-making about leaky port security, unsecured chemical plants and first responders whose radios didn’t communicate. If someone had told him that five years after 9/11 these problems would still be unsolved, Bush would have laughed him out of the office.

If only it were so.

As disappointing as the last five years have been, it’s at least equally disappointing to think about where could be with competence, sound judgment, and wisdom.

Four months ago, Al Gore did a very funny bit for Saturday Night Live in which he had taken office in 2001 and described the nirvana that his presidency had ushered in ever since. It was meant in jest, of course, but it couldn’t help but spark questions about where the country would be right now had key decisions gone the other way. Perhaps it’s better for our collective psyche not to think about it too much.

But if we do ponder it, the questions invariably lead back to the opportunities Bush was given with the 9/11 crisis. Few presidents are ever offered a chance to rally their nation and the world behind a just cause. Better yet, fewer still are given a head-start — after 9/11, everyone stood behind Bush and asked him to lead. The president had the goodwill a leader needs to take followers almost anywhere.

Except where he chose to go. It will be a legacy of disappointment and what-ifs.

“others still abandon greatness in order to execute Karl Rove’s vision of a ‘permanent Republican majority.'”

Pithy!

“Lincoln and FDR had both gone bipartisan during wartime, [Bush] reminded his aide.”

For that to have happened Boy George II would have had actually read some American History since grade school. Somehow I don’t think he has.

Ann “The Bitch” Coulter asks on occasion for us to think of how things would have turned out if Al Gore and Joe Lieberman were President and Vice-President in 2001. I tend to think it would have been a lot better, and I think there is a good chance we would have stopped the 9/11/01 plot entirely. Napoleon knew, and explains that “Luck” is just the ability of a good commander to recognize his opponents’ failures (and there were many such opportunities before 9/11/01) AND to take advantage of them. Clinton/Gore stopped the Millenium attacks. Gore/Lieberman could have stopped the 9/11/01 attacks, if for no other reason than they would have:

1) Kept Richard Clarke as a briefer to the Principles (Secretaries and the President) rather than a briefer to the Deputies (thank you Condi),
2) Paid attention to a PDB that said that Osama bin Laden wanted to attack America,
3) Avenged the attack on the U.S.S Cole (which Clinton gave to the next administration because of bastard DeLay complaining about the attack after the Embassy Bombing being against an “Unproven” enemy), and
4) Actually been working an twelve hour day to protect the United States.

Fantasies about a competent Boy George II, I don’t waste my time on.

  • Lance, in terms of your second point, actually, with a gore presidency, they wouldn’t have needed an 8/6/01 PDB. Remember (or perhaps i’m telling you this for the first time), the 8/6/01 PDB was prepared in direct response to a question posed by Bush. This is what makes his “you’ve covered your ass” non-response even more puzzling: the little dip claimed that he wanted to know what the likelihood of an AQ attack on America was.

  • Of course you realize, some White House lackey is trying to figure out how to get this article in grade-school history text books as what really happened during Shrub’s presidency.

    Who needs truth when there’s truthiness?

  • I think tonight in the “docu”, “drama” is when Condi runs around telling everyone how important Bin Laden’s threat is to the president.

    Those are nice fantasies about the last five years and Bush is worse than most (all?), but it seems like every president finds a way to fuck things up. Still it’s nice to dream.

    * I would use an asterisk in curse words, but we’re Liberals and we say fuck a lot. 🙂

  • “Remember (or perhaps i’m telling you this for the first time), the 8/6/01 PDB was prepared in direct response to a question posed by Bush.” – howard

    Actually, I had not heard that before. Do you have a citation I can go read up?

    Thanks

  • This is an automatic response from Koreyel’s
    mail client:

    Sorry I can’t comment on this post today:
    I am still mourning….

    Furthermore anybody who dares not to mourn with me is a traitor.

    Cue the violins…
    Cue the crocodile tears…
    Cue the maudlin segue to commercial messages with Old Glory “blowin’ in the wind.”

    At least for this day…We the people of the USA–Dims and Repugs alike– can stand tall as One Overweight People again.

    Come on everyone:
    Let’s do a group hug for the Gipper…

    Cue the “Operation Iraqi Freedom” music….
    (Don’t you just love those martial drums? They make me tear up with pride.)

  • Alter forgot about the portion where bush privatizes Social Security in this alternate time line.

    With all the good will in this alternate reality, social security would have been toast.

  • It’s a little annoying that quick executions (with or without trial, in the case of Bin laden) are seen as the best possible form of “justice” in this piece. Still, it is interesting.

  • The interesting point that brian (post # 7) is alluding to is that when it comes to “the true conservative agenda” (smaller government and the like), Georgie Boy took his eye off the ball. The accumulation of power and getting Saddam for having tried to kill his dad were far more important to Bush than any true conservative goals.

    Conservatives–both of the less-intrusive government and anal-retentive factions–may rue the day that they hitch their wagon to George W. Bush; that is with the maladministration of the Bush regime and the public’s reaction to it, the seeds of destruction for the modern conservative movement may have be sowed.

  • Jonathan Rauch has an interesting column in the October issue of the New Yorker: “Unwinding Bush, How long will it take to fix his mistakes”. Rauch estimates 10 to 20 years. So, you can also dream about an alternate future, but be stuck with the one you have to live with thanks to GW.

  • “What would the world have been like if Lex Luthor had decided to be a good guy?”

    Alter’s “imaginary story,” like those in a Superman comic, could never have happened — not just because Bush lacks the mental chops or the personality to enact it, not just because Karl Rove has his ear, not just because of Cheney and Rummy.

    Bush’s Presidency itself is an almost inevitable historical creation, given the prior years of hard, deeply partisan work by the right wing in this country. The entire conservative movement was in high gear in 2001, feeling quite cocky after impeaching Clinton and then cheating their way into the White House. The Senate and the House were (and still are) in the hands of right-wing zealots. Had Bush’s eyes been opened by 9/11, and had he seen it as an “opportunity” for bipartisanship, the radicals in his own party would have hounded him from office.

    No doubt Cheney would by now be the President, with Coulter his National Security Advisor.

  • Strange alternate history, because it simply isn’t in character with what we know about Bush. He’s an ignorant, incompetent fool (insert other appropriate adjectives here) who should never have been elected president. I’d write it from the point of view of Gore winning in 2000 (he probably did), or Bush heeding the warnings before 9/11 and foiling the plot. In the latter case he’d have been dumped in 2004. Prior to 9/11 it was pretty clear the guy was in over his head, a mediocre president at best. He’d have never gotten a second term.

    What an issue to debate, huh? It’s just pie in the sky. And makes you want to weep, because we got the worst of all possible worlds.

  • Hark is right. The article is fantasy because of who George Bush is,

    As for the world offering us unity, it was more like a funeral bouquet that would have wilted in a few days. That brief moment of empathy was amazing though. Then Bush farted.

  • …And this, my friends and foes alike, shall be the legacy of George W. Bush; that each and every President, Prime Minister, Prince, Pontiff, and Potentate alike shall judge their own actions on how they will be viewed by future generations, as compared to “what might have been” had they but followed a different Path….

  • My take is the same as Hark’s – the alternate history is really only plausible if “B”-“U”-“S”-“H” is a very strange misspelling of “Gore”.

  • How far back do you want to go? The Manifest Destiny mentality that Bush, Rove et.al. built their “empire” on has permeated the US populace and political policy for centuries. Expecting the latest crop of military imperialists to be significantly different would mean the entire methodology of US political/economic/military ideology and related educational systems would need to have been under multilateralist reform for at least a few decades. It wasn’t, still isn’t, so don’t look for much different reaction from the rest of the world until it does.

  • Great presidents have confronted complex and formidable challenges, and were able to meet them. Until now, no president has ever created such challenges and been defeated by his own creations.

  • The 9/11 plot worked only because everybody in the airline business was trained to co-operate with hijackers.

    All it would have taken to prevent most of 9/11 would have been to get the word out that terrorists were thinking of hijacking planes and flying them into buildings (rather than landing them somewhere and threaten to execute hostiages if demands weren’t met — as was the case before). Four planes might have still have crashed, but the loss of life would have been in the 100’s not 1000’s.

  • I remember that in the weeks following 9/11 a republican “friend” of mine mentioned to a group of us how W was showing us what a profound leader he was by bringing us all together for a common cause, etc. He even asked if we still thought Gore would be as good a leader.

    I recall saying that the truth is a chimpanzee would come out of the first few post-9/11 weeks looking like a leader. The event itself was the catalyst that brought us together. W’s speechwriters were the ones who made it seem as though HE was actually “leading us.”

    I also remember a day in January of 2001, watching a clip of the new president being sworn in and thinking, “well, what’s the worst that could happen?” Oh brother. Did I get an answer. Looking back, life has given me and everyone an almost comically dire answer to that question.

    I also remember the main headline in The Onion that week: “Bush Sworn In: At Last Our Long National Nightmare of Peace and Prosperity is Over!” How prophetic!

    As for Alter’s inspired column, I quote Whittier: “Of all sad words of tongue and pen, the saddest are these, ‘It might have been.'”

  • If they had followed that path, they could have formed a permanent Republican majority. I would be voting for Linc Chafee with pride today, instead of Laffey with revulsion (time to accentaute the contradictions). I would be able to speak of my country with pride.

    …what might have been.

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