What Obama’s ’50-state strategy’ will look like

Back when Rudy Giuliani was a presidential candidate, he used to knock his Senate rivals, in both parties, for never having “run” anything. People like John McCain and Barack Obama, Giuliani said, had been lawmakers, not executives.

Now, as it turns out, the public didn’t much care, and voters in both parties for the first time in U.S. history nominated sitting senators to face off in the general election.

But in some ways, Giuliani’s criticism underestimated something: Obama is effectively the CEO of a massive national enterprise, with a huge budget and enormous staff.

Behind the headlines about the unprecedented success of Democrat Barack Obama’s fund-raising machine lies a more prosaic truth — his campaign will need every penny of its $300 million goal to bankroll an unprecedented 50-state general election campaign with a massive army on the ground.

His campaign already has by far the largest full-time paid staff in presidential campaign history, and unlike Republican rival John McCain’s, continues to grow by the day.

National polls show the race remains close between Obama and McCain, but the Obama campaign is paying closer attention to polls in more than a dozen states that show Obama has a chance of winning in November. The states were won four years ago by President Bush, in many cases by huge margins. In theory, at least, Obama’s effort could nudge states such as Virginia, Indiana, and North Dakota into the Democratic column and produce a surprising Electoral College boost. […]

Obama, meanwhile, is already running uncontested television advertising in seven of the historically Republican states and is sending in large paid staffs.

“Between the Obama staff and the Democratic Party staff there will be several thousand” paid operatives on the ground deployed across the country, deputy campaign manager Steve Hildebrand told the Boston Globe. “I don’t want to get too specific; it gives away strategy.”

The “50-state strategy” includes paid staff in literally every state, but it’s not surprising that the Obama campaign will emphasize key battlegrounds, meaning a campaign with “large-scale operations in 22 states, medium operations in many others, and small staffs in only a handful of states.”

Obama and the Democratic Party have about 200 paid staffers working in Florida and more on the way, 90 in Michigan with plans to expand to 200 by August, at least 200 each eventually in Pennsylvania and Ohio, and 50 in Missouri with plans to expand to 150, according to published reports and interviews with Obama campaign officials. Hildebrand said state organizations should be at full strength by the end of August.

Reports filed with the Federal Election Commission show that in May the campaign had a payroll of about 900, not counting nearly 500 part-time workers who were paid stipends. As of May 31, the Obama campaign staff was well over twice the size of the Bush reelection campaign staff in 2004 and nearly three times the size of McCain’s current staff, and has expanded significantly since.

Through the end of May, the Obama campaign had spent $35.7 million on salaries and benefits, triple the $11.9 million spent by the McCain campaign, according to tabulations by the Center for Responsive Politics, a nonpartisan research group.

“The climate has made millions of Americans who haven’t been involved in a political campaign ever in their lifetimes very active,” Hildebrand said. “We estimate that 70 percent of our grass-roots volunteers haven’t worked in a campaign before…. We’re somewhere just shy of 2 million volunteers, and we think we can potentially triple that on Election Day.”

There’s never been anything like this. Time will tell if translates into a victory, but Obama has clearly put together an unprecedented operation.

Veteran Democratic operative John Sasso, who backed Hillary Clinton’s campaign, explained the benefits of Obama’s model: “People tend to believe information delivered by people they know and who live in their neighborhood more than an ad they see on television or what some third party from out of their state is telling them. It can really change the electoral map.”

Stay tuned.

Let’s hope some of those Obama folks are keeping an eye on the purging of voter rolls, voting machine chain of custody and all the other shenanigans that lead to unexplained voting anomalies and mysteriously throw important districts in important states to Republicans.

  • I agree with beep52. Republicans are known liars, cheats, thieves and crooks with low morals and little conscience. Rigging voting machines, purging voter rolls… this is their stock in trade. Every city and town in this nation should be on full alert when it comes time to vote this year. Count every ballot and check every machine. And then check them again. And make double sure EVERYONE who is eligible gets to vote and have their vote counted. Our country cannot afford to let the Republicans steal another presidential election. Look what it has cost us in the last 8 years!

  • They still haven’t learned to correct the machines that will flip the vote while the right wing political machine focuses on how to steal the election. Installing the same technicians responsible for the ’00 & 04 vote flips and passing legislation to disenfranchise voters.

    Obama camp should focus as much on the vote counters as the voters. Bush was never “elected” but became president anyway. The polls are already setting it up as this race is not even close yet they report it as such. McCain’s “tell” was when he made the comment that he would overtake Obama in the last 48 hrs to election day.

    Remember, the repubs have already gotten away with it twice that we know about and all investigations into this RNC corruption have been blocked or stymied. Blackwell in Ohio should be in jail. Instead he’s up for governor. But then again, AT&T and multiple corporations are buying access to the dem party by paying for and sponsoring the Denver convention. So with enough of them bought bribed and blackmailed into corporate pockets what difference will it make who wins the election…the Money Party still controls congress. The people haven’t been represented for a very long time. In Mo. Obama supporter Sen. McCaskill-D votes the same as Kit Bond-R MO only they each tell their supporters what they want to hear while following the orders of the Washington establishment…or the money party.

    I believe in the inspiration of the people supporting Obama and their views but it’s an uphill battle to end the reign of the Money Party even after Obama is elected. If his 50state strategy relies on getting more Bluedog DINOs elected then it’s a defeatist long term strategy.

  • One thing that seems to get left out of discussion of Obama’s 50 state strategy is that voters in many states feel left out of the contest. Democrats in Oklahoma don’t really need to pay attention, even in good conscience, what is the chance that their vote will count.

    But the Obama campaign can recruit online volunteers, and cash, from these voters. The website has a feature where you can setup your own instant phone-bank, from home, while in pajamas. Of course you can also contribute $10 and the campaign will be appreciative. Sometimes it helps to scale your volunteer involvement down to the uninitiated, the sometimes interested, or even the disorganized, overworked or under-appreciated, when phone-banking is as easy and pressure-free as checking your hotmail, and contributing is as easy as, or easier than, buying a book from Amazon, lots of ‘States’ come into play, or at least the people trapped them.

  • This is one of the things I never understood about Hillary’s campaign – in spite of the number of people involved, Barack still seemed to be in control, while Hillary was run *by* her campaign.

  • Arguably the Rethugs are OK with losing this election so they can destroy Obama in the next two years while he tries to clean up some of the elephant dung. The Rethugs will control Congress no matter how many Dim-Democrats get elected. Their strategy is to reclaim at least one house of Congress in 2010, and install Jebbie as President in 2012.

    As long as unaudited electronic voting continues, and partisan political hacks are allowed to control the election apparatus, our elections are a sham and a fraud. We need international election monitors, but of course we don’t allow them since our elections supposedly set the standard for everyone else (at least in our own exceptionalist minds).

    That doesn’t sound very hopeful, I realize, but our political system is so broken that it’s probably beyond repair.

  • Gosh, Rudy didn’t turn out to be an effective executive of his campaign, and neither was HClinton and neither has McCain to date.

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